TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.1b
24H VOL:
$217,487,446
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,300,303,450
498,643
Markets across
13,761
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,763
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
FC Bayern Munchen vs. Fenerbahce
Volume:
$1,077,599
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
In the upcoming Euroleague basketball game, scheduled for April 1 at 1:00PM ET: If the FC Bayern Munchen win, the market will resolve to "FC Bayern Munchen". If the Fenerbahce win, the market will resolve to "Fenerbahce". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi's market resolves YES for both possible outcomes (either team winning), making it logically contradictory and fundamentally unresolvable. Polymarket correctly resolves to one of two mutually exclusive outcomes based on which team wins.Hero Tip:
Do not trade on Kalshi's market — it contains a logical error that makes settlement impossible. Polymarket is the only reliable market in this group. If you hold Kalshi positions, seek clarification from their support team immediately.Critical Divergence Points:
- Polymarket: Outlier (correct logic): Resolves to exactly one outcome based on match result — 'FC Bayern Munchen' if Bayern wins, 'Fenerbahce' if Fenerbahce wins. Includes postponement and cancellation rules: 'If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.'
- Kalshi: Outlier (critical error): Resolves YES if Fenerbahce wins AND YES if Bayern Munich wins, creating a logical contradiction where both outcomes trigger YES. The market states: 'If Fenerbahce Istanbul wins...then the market resolves to Yes' and 'If Bayern Munich wins...then the market resolves to Yes,' making it impossible to distinguish between winning and losing outcomes.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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