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$134.2b

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$134,145,987

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$1,441,166,947

406,422

Markets across

30,383

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MATCHED EVENTS:

2,688

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

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61%

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FC Bayern Munchen vs. Alba Berlin
polymarket
kalshi

FC Bayern Munchen vs. Alba Berlin

Volume:
$303,915

Bayern Munich

 - Kalshi

Bayern Munich - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Jun 12, 2026

Closed: Jun 12, 4:34 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Bayern Munich

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$136,620
N/A
N/A
$77,861
Settled
Yes
polymarket

FC Bayern Munchen vs. Alba Berlin

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$25,430
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 159.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$498
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Alba Berlin

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$141,073
N/A
N/A
$74,046
Settled
No
polymarket

FC Bayern Munchen (-8.5)

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$294
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
Total markets: 5

Description

This event group covers the professional Germany BBL basketball matchup between FC Bayern Munchen and Alba Berlin scheduled for June 12, 2026 at 2:30 PM EDT. Markets resolve based on the final game outcome, with provisions for postponement, cancellation, and overtime.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Kalshi market contains a logical contradiction where both possible game outcomes (Bayern win and Alba win) are stated to resolve to Yes, making binary resolution impossible. Polymarket uses standard winner-takes-all logic with clear edge case handling.Hero tip: This is a data integrity failure on Kalshi. The market structure is fundamentally unresolvable as written. Request immediate clarification from Kalshi: confirm whether the Alba Berlin win condition should resolve to No, or whether this is a different market type entirely. Avoid trading Kalshi until the contradiction is removed.

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: Binary winner-based resolution: Bayern win resolves to Bayern, Alba win resolves to Alba. Postponement keeps market open; cancellation without makeup resolves 50-50. Final score includes overtime.
  • Kalshi: Contradictory logic: states both Bayern win and Alba win resolve to Yes. This violates binary market structure and creates settlement ambiguity. Quote: 'If Bayern Munich wins...resolves to Yes' AND 'If Alba Berlin wins...resolves to Yes'.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

In the upcoming Germany BBL game, scheduled for June 12 at 2:30PM ET: If the FC Bayern Munchen win, the market will resolve to "FC Bayern Munchen". If the Alba Berlin win, the market will resolve to "Alba Berlin". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods.

Kalshi

Resolution is based on the final result of the game. If the game is postponed or delayed, the market remains open and closes after the rescheduled game finishes within two weeks. If the game is cancelled or rescheduled more than two weeks away, the market resolves to a fair price for each team in accordance with the rules.

Frequently asked questions

Polymarket and Kalshi can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Kalshi and Polymarket operate under different regulatory frameworks, liquidity pools, and user bases, which can cause temporary price divergence on the FC Bayern Munchen vs. Alba Berlin matchup. Kalshi may attract institutional traders and offer tighter spreads, while Polymarket draws retail volume and can experience wider bid-ask gaps. Differences in trading fees, market depth, and platform design also influence how quickly each venue reprices after news. These gaps typically narrow as arbitrageurs trade across both platforms, but real-time monitoring helps you identify the best entry and exit prices.