TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$107,351,958
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,416,970,024
400,720
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,633
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Aug 28, 4:42 PM EST
Polymarket
This market tracks whether the total goals scored in the upcoming Bundesliga match between FC Bayern München and VfB Stuttgart will exceed 4.5 goals, aggregating probabilities from Polymarket and Predict. The current consensus probability for the leading outcome, over 4.5 goals, is 99.0%, with the second outcome, over 3.5 goals, also at 99.0%. All markets resolve based on official statistics published on bundesliga.com. Watch for the match conclusion on 2026-08-28 to confirm the final score and settle this market.
More markets for the Bundesliga game, scheduled for August 28 at 2:30 PM ET.
More markets for the Bundesliga game, scheduled for August 28 at 2:30 PM ET.
Prediction market odds on this market often reflect sharper, more nuanced probabilities than traditional sportsbook lines, because they are driven by continuous trading and can adjust rapidly to new information. While sportsbooks may offer fixed odds, this market lets traders speculate on precise outcome likelihoods, sometimes revealing discrepancies or early shifts in perceived favorites before they appear in mainstream betting lines.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through user bets that reflect immediate trader sentiment, while Predict may incorporate different liquidity models or user bases. Polymarket and Predict can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. For the Bayern vs Stuttgart match market, factors such as varying user participation levels, distinct market designs, and differing update frequencies all contribute to price gaps. The way each platform handles order execution and fee structures can also cause divergence. Additionally, if one platform has more active traders, its prices might adjust faster to new information, widening the gap with the other site.