TOTAL VOLUME:
$147.6b
24H VOL:
$185,329,595
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,799,378,420
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,813,258,821
507,072
Markets across
37,953
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,853
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
38%
VS.
Kalshi:
62%
Closed: Oct 17, 3:09 PM EST
Polymarket
This market tracks the Over/Under 4.5 goals outcome for the FC Bayern München versus RB Leipzig Bundesliga match. Currently, the consensus probability of FC Bayern München vs. RB Leipzig exceeding 4.5 goals stands at 100.0%. This aggregate reflects predictions from Predict and Polymarket, and will resolve based on the official final score published on bundesliga.com. The markets consider the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time to determine the outcome. Keep an eye on the match itself, scheduled for resolution on October 17, 2026, to see if the total goals scored will exceed the threshold.
More markets for the Bundesliga game, scheduled for October 17 at 12:30 PM ET.
More markets for the Bundesliga game, scheduled for October 17 at 12:30 PM ET.
Prediction market odds, like those found on Polymarket and Predict, often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set odds based on their own models and aim to balance risk, while prediction markets are driven by actual money at stake, incentivizing accurate predictions. This market's odds can be influenced by factors not always fully captured by sportsbook algorithms, such as late-breaking news or subtle shifts in public sentiment. Comparing these odds can reveal valuable insights and potential arbitrage opportunities for informed bettors.
Prices on Polymarket and Predict for this market can diverge due to several factors. Polymarket and Predict can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Each platform attracts a different user base with varying levels of expertise and risk tolerance, leading to differing opinions on the likely outcome of the Bayern vs Leipzig match. Trading volume also plays a role; higher volume on one platform can lead to more efficient price discovery. Furthermore, the specific rules and interface of each platform can influence how traders interpret information and express their beliefs. These differences contribute to the observed price discrepancies between Polymarket and Predict.