TOTAL VOLUME:

$147.6b

24H VOL:

$185,329,595

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,799,378,420

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,813,258,821

507,072

Markets across

37,953

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,853

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

38%

VS.

Kalshi:

62%

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FC Bayern München vs. RB Leipzig - More Markets
predict
polymarket

What is the result of FC Bayern München vs RB Leipzig?

Volume:
$885,951

O/U 4.5

all

2 markets

Polymarket

Predict

consensus

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 17, 2026

Closed: Oct 17, 3:09 PM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

O/U 4.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$110,585
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
predict

O/U 4.5

100%
48%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
$26,762
$11,071
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 6.5

100%
81%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$93,726
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
predict

O/U 6.5

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
$33,923
$26,667
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

FC Bayern München (-2.5)

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$66,931
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
predict

FC Bayern München (-2.5)

100%
56%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
$17,041
$19,549
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 5.5

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$51,407
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
predict

O/U 5.5

100%
66%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
$25,575
$12,002
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

FC Bayern München (-3.5)

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$33,500
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
predict

FC Bayern München (-3.5)

100%
73%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
$26,939
$3,749
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

1st Half O/U 0.5

100%
12%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$29,893
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Both Teams to Score

100%
32%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$28,462
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
predict

Both Teams to Score

100%
30%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
$16,842
$10,057
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

FC Bayern München (-1.5)

100%
37%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$19,795
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
predict

FC Bayern München (-1.5)

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
$26,931
$14,864
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 0.5

100%
1%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$17,390
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
predict

O/U 0.5

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
$26,817
$150
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 3.5

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$15,242
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
predict

O/U 3.5

100%
29%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
$26,817
$8,682
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 2.5

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$10,331
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
predict

O/U 2.5

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
$26,837
$5,430
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

1st Half O/U 1.5

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$6,675
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

1st Half O/U 2.5

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$6,371
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

FC Bayern München (-4.5)

100%
84%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$5,440
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
predict

FC Bayern München (-4.5)

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
$20,919
$477
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
Total markets: 25 of 80

Intro

This market tracks the Over/Under 4.5 goals outcome for the FC Bayern München versus RB Leipzig Bundesliga match. Currently, the consensus probability of FC Bayern München vs. RB Leipzig exceeding 4.5 goals stands at 100.0%. This aggregate reflects predictions from Predict and Polymarket, and will resolve based on the official final score published on bundesliga.com. The markets consider the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time to determine the outcome. Keep an eye on the match itself, scheduled for resolution on October 17, 2026, to see if the total goals scored will exceed the threshold.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)

Both platforms utilize the same resolution source (bundesliga.com) and fallback mechanisms, with identical logic for postponements and cancellations.Primary resolution logic: Official final score published on bundesliga.com

Core resolution logic:

  • Resolution is based on the final score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time.
  • If the game is postponed, markets remain open until completion.
  • If the game is canceled, markets resolve 50-50.
  • A tiered data source hierarchy is used: bundesliga.com > Flashscore > Sofascore > Consensus.

Edge cases & clarifications:

  • Data Source Unavailability: If bundesliga.com data is unavailable within 2 hours of the event's conclusion, Flashscore data will be used. If Flashscore data is unavailable, Sofascore data will be used. If neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting will be used.
  • No Acceptable Data: If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, the market will resolve 50-50.
Timing: Resolution will occur after the completion of the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, or upon official cancellation, with a maximum delay of 24 hours due to data source fallback procedures.Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

More markets for the Bundesliga game, scheduled for October 17 at 12:30 PM ET.

Predict

More markets for the Bundesliga game, scheduled for October 17 at 12:30 PM ET.

Frequently asked questions

On Polymarket and Predict, this dashboard tracks the consensus view on the outcome of the Bayern vs Leipzig match. Currently, the total volume across both platforms is $885,951, with $871,511 traded in the last 24 hours. Polymarket currently favors Spread: RB Leipzig (-3.5) with a chance of 99%, while Predict leans toward Spread: FC Bayern München (-5.5). This allows traders to compare probabilities and potentially capitalize on discrepancies between the two markets. The dashboard provides a comprehensive overview of the predictions surrounding this highly anticipated contest.

Prediction market odds, like those found on Polymarket and Predict, often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set odds based on their own models and aim to balance risk, while prediction markets are driven by actual money at stake, incentivizing accurate predictions. This market's odds can be influenced by factors not always fully captured by sportsbook algorithms, such as late-breaking news or subtle shifts in public sentiment. Comparing these odds can reveal valuable insights and potential arbitrage opportunities for informed bettors.

Prices on Polymarket and Predict for this market can diverge due to several factors. Polymarket and Predict can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Each platform attracts a different user base with varying levels of expertise and risk tolerance, leading to differing opinions on the likely outcome of the Bayern vs Leipzig match. Trading volume also plays a role; higher volume on one platform can lead to more efficient price discovery. Furthermore, the specific rules and interface of each platform can influence how traders interpret information and express their beliefs. These differences contribute to the observed price discrepancies between Polymarket and Predict.