TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.4b
24H VOL:
$218,201,443
24H TRANSACTIONS:
527,797,601
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,191,873,651
500,842
Markets across
13,663
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,809
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
FC Bayern München vs. Borussia Mönchengladbach - More Markets
Volume:
$636,208
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers a Bundesliga match between FC Bayern München and Borussia Mönchengladbach scheduled for March 6, 2026 at 2:30 PM ET. Markets span point spreads (-1.5, -2.5 for each team), total goals over/under (1.5, 2.5, 3.5, 4.5), and both teams to score, all resolving on the official final score within 90 minutes plus stoppage time.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)
Both Polymarket and Kalshi align on the same match outcome (90 minutes plus stoppage time), same official source (bundesliga.com), and identical postponement/cancellation handling (50-50 split if no makeup game).
Primary resolution logic:
Official Bundesliga statistics published on bundesliga.com; fallback to consensus of credible reporting if official stats unavailable within 2 hours of match conclusion.Core resolution logic:
- Bayern Munich -1.5 spread: Bayern wins by 2+ goals resolves YES, otherwise NO
- Mönchengladbach -1.5 spread: Mönchengladbach wins by 2+ goals resolves YES, otherwise NO
- Bayern Munich -2.5 spread: Bayern wins by 3+ goals resolves YES, otherwise NO
- Mönchengladbach -2.5 spread: Mönchengladbach wins by 3+ goals resolves YES, otherwise NO
- Over/Under 1.5 goals: Combined 2+ goals = Over, <2 = Under
- Over/Under 2.5 goals: Combined 3+ goals = Over, <3 = Under
- Over/Under 3.5 goals: Combined 4+ goals = Over, <4 = Under
- Over/Under 4.5 goals: Combined 5+ goals = Over, <5 = Under
- Both Teams to Score: YES if each team scores 1+, NO if either team scores 0
Edge cases & Clarifications:
- Match Postponement: Markets remain open and unresolved until the match is completed; no early resolution occurs.
- Match Cancellation (No Makeup): All markets in the group resolve 50-50 (split pool equally between YES and NO outcomes).
- Match Started but Incomplete: Resolution uses the official final score from bundesliga.com; incomplete matches do not resolve early.
- Official Source Delay: If Bundesliga does not publish final statistics within 2 hours of match end, credible reporting consensus becomes the resolution source.
- Scope: Extra Time and Penalties Excluded: All markets count only the 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time; extra time and penalty shootouts are not included in resolution.
Timing:
Resolution occurs after the match concludes (90 minutes plus stoppage time) and official Bundesliga statistics are published, or within 2 hours post-match if fallback to credible reporting is required.Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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