TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.6b
24H VOL:
$283,259,638
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,235,549,422
505,521
Markets across
13,661
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,892
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
FC Bayern München vs. Borussia Mönchengladbach
Volume:
$2,656,466
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers a Bundesliga match between FC Bayern München and Borussia Mönchengladbach scheduled for March 6, 2026. Markets across Polymarket and Kalshi assess the outcome (Bayern win, draw, or Mönchengladbach win) based on the result after 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalties.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Polymarket's draw market contains a cancellation clause that resolves YES if the game is canceled with no make-up, while Bayern and Mönchengladbach markets resolve NO on cancellation. Kalshi omits cancellation guidance entirely, creating platform inconsistency.Hero Tip:
In a cancellation scenario, Polymarket's draw market will resolve YES while the Bayern and Mönchengladbach markets resolve NO—a logical inconsistency. Verify Kalshi's cancellation protocol with support before the match date. Monitor Bundesliga.com for any postponement or cancellation announcements.Critical Divergence Points:
- Polymarket: Three separate markets: Bayern win resolves YES if Bayern wins in 90+stoppage (NO if canceled); Draw resolves YES if match ends level in 90+stoppage (YES if canceled with no make-up); Mönchengladbach win resolves YES if Mönchengladbach wins in 90+stoppage (NO if canceled). Primary source: official Bundesliga statistics within 2 hours, or credible reporting consensus if delayed.
- Kalshi: Three separate markets: Bayern win resolves YES if Bayern wins after 90+stoppage; Mönchengladbach win resolves YES if Mönchengladbach wins after 90+stoppage; Tie resolves YES if match ends in draw after 90+stoppage. No explicit cancellation or postponement clause provided.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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