This event group covers a La Liga match between FC Barcelona and Sevilla FC scheduled for March 15, 2026 at 11:15 AM ET. Markets include spread bets (goal-margin outcomes for both teams), over/under total goals (at 1.5, 2.5, 3.5, and 4.5 thresholds), and a both-teams-to-score market. All markets resolve based on the official final score within 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time.
Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)
All markets across both platforms use identical resolution logic: official La Liga final score, 90 minutes plus stoppage time, consistent postponement handling (market remains open), and identical cancellation protocol (50-50 or Yes resolution). Spread thresholds and over/under totals are uniform.
Primary resolution logic:
Official La Liga statistics published on laliga.com; if not published within 2 hours of match conclusion, consensus of credible reporting sources
Core resolution logic:
Spread: Sevilla FC (-1.5) resolves to Sevilla if they win by 2+ goals, otherwise Barcelona
Spread: Sevilla FC (-2.5) resolves to Sevilla if they win by 3+ goals, otherwise Barcelona
Spread: FC Barcelona (-1.5) resolves to Barcelona if they win by 2+ goals, otherwise Sevilla
Spread: FC Barcelona (-2.5) resolves to Barcelona if they win by 3+ goals, otherwise Sevilla
Over/Under 1.5: Over if combined goals >= 2, Under if < 2
Over/Under 2.5: Over if combined goals >= 3, Under if < 3
Over/Under 3.5: Over if combined goals >= 4, Under if < 4
Over/Under 4.5: Over if combined goals >= 5, Under if < 5
Both Teams to Score: Yes if both teams score >= 1 goal each, No if either team scores 0
All markets count only goals scored in 90 minutes plus stoppage time (no extra time or penalties)
Edge cases & Clarifications:
Match Postponement: If the match is postponed, all markets remain open until the game is completed. No early resolution occurs.
Match Cancellation: If the match is canceled entirely with no make-up game scheduled, Polymarket markets resolve 50-50. Kalshi markets (Yes/No format) resolve to Yes.
Incomplete Match: If the match is started but not completed, resolution is based on the official final score published by La Liga for the completed portion.
Official Statistics Delay: If La Liga does not publish official final match statistics within 2 hours after match conclusion, resolution uses consensus of credible reporting sources.
Extra Time and Penalties: Markets explicitly exclude extra time and penalties; only the 90 minutes plus stoppage time count for resolution.
Timing:
Resolution occurs after the match concludes and official La Liga statistics are published (target within 2 hours of match end). Markets remain open during postponements and resolve only after the match is completed.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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