TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$134,145,987
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,441,166,947
406,422
Markets across
30,383
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,688
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jul 16, 2:00 PM EST
Polymarket
In the upcoming match between FC Ballkani and Connah's Quay Nomads FC, scheduled for July 16, 2026 at 2:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "FC Ballkani" if FC Ballkani are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Connah's Quay Nomads FC" if Connah's Quay Nomads FC are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. If neither team scores within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, this market will resolve "Neither". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Neither". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
In the upcoming match between FC Ballkani and Connah's Quay Nomads FC, scheduled for July 16, 2026 at 2:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "FC Ballkani" if FC Ballkani are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Connah's Quay Nomads FC" if Connah's Quay Nomads FC are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. If neither team scores within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, this market will resolve "Neither". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Neither". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
Prediction market odds and traditional sportsbook odds often diverge because they reflect different participant bases and incentive structures. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and manage risk, while prediction markets like this one are driven purely by trader consensus and financial incentives to forecast accurately. Comparing this market's prices to major sportsbooks can reveal where bettors and traders disagree on the likelihood of each outcome, potentially highlighting value opportunities or consensus blind spots in how the match is perceived.
On Polymarket, traders set prices by buying and selling outcome shares in an automated market maker system. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Each share represents a claim on one team scoring first, and the price of each share reflects the collective belief of all participants at that moment. As new information emerges—team news, injury reports, or betting sentiment shifts—traders adjust their positions, causing prices to move and the implied probability of each outcome to fluctuate in real time.
This market resolves around Jul 16, 2026, once the FC Ballkani versus Connah's Quay Nomads FC match concludes and the first goal is verified. The outcome is determined by which team scores the opening goal, confirmed against credible public reporting of the match result. Traders holding shares in the winning outcome receive their payout, while shares in non-winning outcomes expire worthless.
Team news—injuries to key strikers, tactical shifts, or lineup announcements—can significantly shift odds as traders reassess each side's attacking threat. Recent form, head-to-head history, and venue conditions also influence expectations around early scoring. Betting syndicates and sharp money flowing into one outcome can trigger rapid price moves, as can pre-match analysis from respected analysts. Real-time match events like early chances or defensive mistakes will drive final adjustments immediately before kickoff.