TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$133,388,117
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,436,095,462
405,232
Markets across
30,526
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,693
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jul 16, 2:00 PM EST
Polymarket
In the upcoming UEFA Europa Conference League game between FC Ballkani and Connah's Quay Nomads FC, scheduled for July 16, 2026 at 2:00 PM ET: This market will resolve based on the final score of the FC Ballkani vs. Connah's Quay Nomads FC match originally scheduled for July 16, 2026 at 2:00 PM ET, considering only the result at the end of 90 minutes of regulation plus stoppage time; extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. If the actual score is not one of the explicitly listed outcomes, the market resolves to "Any Other Score." If the match is postponed, the market will remain open until it is completed; if it is canceled with no make-up game, the market resolves to "0-0." The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
In the upcoming UEFA Europa Conference League game between FC Ballkani and Connah's Quay Nomads FC, scheduled for July 16, 2026 at 2:00 PM ET: This market will resolve based on the final score of the FC Ballkani vs. Connah's Quay Nomads FC match originally scheduled for July 16, 2026 at 2:00 PM ET, considering only the result at the end of 90 minutes of regulation plus stoppage time; extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. If the actual score is not one of the explicitly listed outcomes, the market resolves to "Any Other Score." If the match is postponed, the market will remain open until it is completed; if it is canceled with no make-up game, the market resolves to "0-0." The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
Prediction market odds and sportsbook odds often diverge because they reflect different participant bases and incentive structures. Sportsbooks set lines to balance liability and profit, while prediction markets are driven by trader conviction and real-money positioning. For exact-score outcomes, sportsbooks typically offer limited options, whereas this market allows traders to bet on any scoreline. Prediction markets can sometimes price niche outcomes more efficiently when informed traders have strong views, though sportsbook odds remain a useful benchmark for comparison.
On Polymarket, traders set prices through an automated market maker that adjusts odds based on buy and sell volume for each exact-score outcome. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The cost to purchase a share reflects the current implied probability, which shifts as new trades arrive. Liquidity concentrates around the most likely scorelines, making those outcomes cheaper to trade. Participants can enter or exit positions at any time before the market closes, with prices updating continuously to reflect fresh information and trading demand.
This market resolves around Jul 16, 2026, once the match between FC Ballkani and Connah's Quay Nomads FC concludes and the final score is verified against credible public sources. The winning outcome is the exact scoreline recorded at the end of regular play. All positions on non-winning scorelines expire worthless, while holders of the correct exact score receive their payout. Resolution typically occurs within hours of the final whistle, pending confirmation from official match records.
Team news—injuries, suspensions, or lineup changes—can shift probabilities toward higher or lower-scoring outcomes. Recent form, head-to-head history, and weather conditions on match day all influence trader expectations. Pre-match odds from sportsbooks and expert predictions may trigger repricing as new information surfaces. Close to kickoff, late-breaking developments such as unexpected absences or tactical announcements often cause sharp moves. During the match itself, live scoring updates will drive rapid adjustments as traders react to goals and the evolving scoreline.