TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$133,388,117
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,436,095,462
405,232
Markets across
30,526
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,693
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 12, 11:30 AM EST
Predict
This prediction market asks for the winner of the second half of a Bundesliga match between FC Augsburg and Bayer 04 Leverkusen. Users are betting on whether Augsburg, Leverkusen, or a draw will occur based on goals scored exclusively in the second half of regular play, including stoppage time.
In the upcoming Bundesliga game between FC Augsburg and Bayer 04 Leverkusen, scheduled for September 12, 2026 at 9:30 AM ET: This market will resolve to "FC Augsburg" if FC Augsburg score more goals than Bayer 04 Leverkusen in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Draw" if FC Augsburg and Bayer 04 Leverkusen score the same number of goals in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Bayer 04 Leverkusen" if Bayer 04 Leverkusen score more goals than FC Augsburg in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Draw". This market refers only to the outcome within the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. First-half goals, extra time, and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics published by the governing body or event organizers. If the governing body or event organizers have not published final statistics within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used. Revisions to officially published final statistics made after market resolution will not be considered in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50.
In the upcoming Bundesliga game between FC Augsburg and Bayer 04 Leverkusen, scheduled for September 12, 2026 at 9:30 AM ET: This market will resolve to "FC Augsburg" if FC Augsburg score more goals than Bayer 04 Leverkusen in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Draw" if FC Augsburg and Bayer 04 Leverkusen score the same number of goals in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Bayer 04 Leverkusen" if Bayer 04 Leverkusen score more goals than FC Augsburg in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Draw". This market refers only to the outcome within the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. First-half goals, extra time, and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics published by the governing body or event organizers. If the governing body or event organizers have not published final statistics within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used. Revisions to officially published final statistics made after market resolution will not be considered in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50.
Prediction market odds, like those found for this market, often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set lines based on statistical models and expert analysis, while prediction markets incorporate a wider range of information and sentiment. This can lead to discrepancies, as prediction markets may more quickly incorporate breaking news or subtle shifts in public opinion. The difference in odds can present arbitrage opportunities for informed traders who can identify mispricings between the two.
Prices on Polymarket and Predict for this market can diverge due to several factors. Polymarket and Predict can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Each platform has a different user base with varying risk tolerance and information access, leading to differing opinions on the likely outcome. Trading volume also plays a role; higher volume on one platform can indicate stronger conviction and influence price discovery. Furthermore, the specific mechanisms for price determination – how traders place bets and how odds are calculated – differ between Polymarket and Predict, contributing to potential discrepancies in the perceived probabilities.