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406,422

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2,688

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FC Augsburg vs. Bayer 04 Leverkusen - First Team to Score
polymarket
predict

What is the result of FC Augsburg vs Bayer 04 Leverkusen?

Volume:
$4,842

Bayer 04 Leverkusen

all

2 markets

Polymarket

Predict

consensus

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Sep 12, 2026

Closed: Sep 12, 11:47 AM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

Bayer 04 Leverkusen

View
100%
44%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$81
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
predict

B04

N/A
N/A
4¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Neither

0%
4%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$4,618
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
predict

Neither

N/A
N/A
—
$0
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

FC Augsburg

0%
40%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$142
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
predict

AUG

N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 6

Description

This prediction market asks which team will score the first goal in a soccer match between FC Augsburg and Bayer 04 Leverkusen. The market considers goals scored within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, excluding extra time and penalty shoot-outs. If neither team scores, the market resolves to 'Neither'.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)

Both Polymarket and Predict utilize identical resolution criteria, including the 90-minute timeframe, stoppage time inclusion, exclusion of extra time/penalties, and fallback data sources.Primary resolution logic: Official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers (with fallback to Flashscore, then Sofascore, then consensus reporting).

Core resolution logic:

  • The first team to score during the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time determines the winner.
  • If neither team scores within the first 90 minutes plus stoppage time, the market resolves to 'Neither'.
  • Postponement extends the market until the game is completed.
  • Cancellation of the game results in a 'Neither' resolution.

Edge cases & clarifications:

  • Game Postponement: The market will remain open until the game is completed. Resolution will then follow the standard rules.
  • Game Cancellation: If the game is canceled entirely with no make-up game, the market will resolve to 'Neither'.
  • Data Source Availability: Official statistics are the primary source. If unavailable within 2 hours, Flashscore is used, then Sofascore, and finally a consensus of credible reporting.
Timing: Resolution will occur after the completion of the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, or upon official cancellation of the event.Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

In the upcoming match between FC Augsburg and Bayer 04 Leverkusen, scheduled for September 12, 2026 at 9:30 AM ET: This market will resolve to "FC Augsburg" if FC Augsburg are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Bayer 04 Leverkusen" if Bayer 04 Leverkusen are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. If neither team scores within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, this market will resolve "Neither". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Neither". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.

Predict

In the upcoming match between FC Augsburg and Bayer 04 Leverkusen, scheduled for September 12, 2026 at 9:30 AM ET: This market will resolve to "FC Augsburg" if FC Augsburg are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Bayer 04 Leverkusen" if Bayer 04 Leverkusen are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. If neither team scores within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, this market will resolve "Neither". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Neither". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.

Frequently asked questions

Prediction market odds, like those found on Polymarket and Predict, often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set odds based on statistical models and expert analysis, while this market is driven by real-money bets and the insights of participants. This can lead to discrepancies, especially when public sentiment diverges from expert opinion. The current volume of $4,842 suggests active trading in this market, and comparing these odds with those from major sportsbooks can reveal interesting insights into differing expectations for the Augsburg vs Leverkusen match.

Polymarket and Predict can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. The differing prices on Polymarket and Predict for the Augsburg vs Leverkusen first-to-score market can be attributed to several factors. Each platform attracts a different user base with varying levels of expertise and access to information. Trading volume also plays a role; higher volume on one platform can lead to more efficient price discovery. Furthermore, the specific mechanisms for trading and risk management on each platform can influence price formation. For example, Polymarket may have different fee structures or liquidity provisions than Predict, impacting how traders behave and ultimately, the odds presented.