TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$134,145,987
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,441,166,947
406,422
Markets across
30,383
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,688
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jul 15, 2:15 PM EST
Polymarket
In the upcoming match between FC Atert Bissen and KÍ, scheduled for July 15, 2026 at 2:15 PM ET: This market will resolve to "FC Atert Bissen" if FC Atert Bissen are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. This market will resolve to "KÍ" if KÍ are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. If neither team scores within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, this market will resolve "Neither". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Neither". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
In the upcoming match between FC Atert Bissen and KÍ, scheduled for July 15, 2026 at 2:15 PM ET: This market will resolve to "FC Atert Bissen" if FC Atert Bissen are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. This market will resolve to "KÍ" if KÍ are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. If neither team scores within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, this market will resolve "Neither". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Neither". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
Prediction market odds often diverge from traditional sportsbook lines because they reflect real-time trader positioning rather than fixed bookmaker margins. On this market, odds can move more fluidly as new information emerges, whereas sportsbooks adjust less frequently and build in their own profit spread. Prediction markets tend to be more efficient at pricing tail outcomes and can offer sharper odds on niche events like first-goal scenarios, though liquidity and volume matter—higher activity typically narrows the gap between prediction and sportsbook pricing.
On Polymarket, traders set prices through an automated market maker or order-book mechanism, where buy and sell orders determine the real-time probability of each outcome. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price you see reflects the marginal trader's willingness to bet at that level, and as more capital flows in or out, odds adjust instantly. This continuous repricing means the market remains responsive to breaking news, team lineups, or injury reports right up until the match begins.
This market resolves around Jul 15, 2026, once the match concludes and the first goal is verified. The outcome is confirmed when credible public sources report which team scored first, and the winning position is paid out accordingly. If no goal is scored during regulation and extra time, or if the match is abandoned, the market rules will specify how that scenario is handled—check the full terms on Polymarket for edge cases.
Key catalysts include team news—injuries to star strikers, lineup announcements, or tactical shifts—that alter scoring probability. Weather conditions, pitch quality, and referee assignments can also influence pace and attacking intent. Recent form, head-to-head history, and any last-minute roster changes will likely trigger repricing as traders reassess each team's offensive threat. Social media sentiment and expert commentary may amplify moves, especially in the hours before kickoff when uncertainty peaks.