TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$141,541,542
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,440,096,988
406,065
Markets across
30,522
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,692
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Aug 16, 5:49 PM EST
Polymarket
In the upcoming match between FC Arouca and Moreirense FC, scheduled for August 16, 2026 at 1:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "FC Arouca" if FC Arouca are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Moreirense FC" if Moreirense FC are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. If neither team scores within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, this market will resolve "Neither". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Neither". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
In the upcoming match between FC Arouca and Moreirense FC, scheduled for August 16, 2026 at 1:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "FC Arouca" if FC Arouca are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Moreirense FC" if Moreirense FC are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. If neither team scores within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, this market will resolve "Neither". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Neither". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
Compared to traditional sportsbook odds, prediction market odds for this market often reflect a more nuanced range of probabilities shaped by trader sentiment and real-time data. While sportsbooks may set fixed lines based on broader analytics, prediction markets allow rapid adjustments as new information emerges — such as lineup changes or weather updates. This can lead to tighter spreads or more volatile pricing, especially as the match approaches, making this market particularly responsive to shifting expectations.
This market resolves around Aug 16, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The first team to find the back of the net during the match officially determines the result, and the platform updates the market status immediately after confirmation. No additional analysis or interpretation is required — the resolution follows the clear, on-field result as reported by trusted sports news sources.
Injuries, lineup announcements, weather conditions, and recent team form are key signals that could shift this market. A star striker being ruled out or a tactical change favoring an attacking approach may increase the probability of one team scoring first. Additionally, early goals in live play or momentum swings during the match can cause rapid adjustments in trader sentiment, influencing odds and volume on Polymarket as the event unfolds.