TOTAL VOLUME:
$61.9b
24H VOL:
$249,705,498
24H TRANSACTIONS:
600,069,390
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,354,509,605
579,516
Markets across
14,317
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,116
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
50%
VS.
Kalshi:
50%
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers a professional Liga Portugal soccer match between FC Arouca and Estoril Praia scheduled for April 6, 2026. Three markets across Polymarket and Kalshi track the outcome: Estoril win, Arouca win, and draw, all resolving based on the result after 90 minutes plus stoppage time.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)
Both Polymarket and Kalshi apply identical resolution logic: match outcome determined after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, with consistent handling of postponements and cancellations across all three outcome markets.
Primary resolution logic:
Liga Portugal official statistics (https://www.ligaportugal.pt/), with consensus of credible reporting as secondary source if official stats not published within 2 hours of match conclusion.Core resolution logic:
- Match resolves based on result after 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time only; extra time and penalties are excluded.
- Estoril Praia win market resolves Yes if Estoril wins, No otherwise.
- FC Arouca win market resolves Yes if Arouca wins, No otherwise.
- Draw market resolves Yes if match ends in a draw, No otherwise.
- If match is postponed, all markets remain open until the rescheduled match is completed.
- If match is canceled entirely with no make-up game scheduled, Estoril and Arouca win markets resolve No, and the draw market resolves Yes.
Edge cases & Clarifications:
- Postponement: Markets remain open and unresolved until the rescheduled match is played and completed.
- Cancellation without make-up: Estoril and Arouca win markets resolve No; draw market resolves Yes.
- Official stats delay: If Liga Portugal does not publish official statistics within 2 hours of match conclusion, resolution may use consensus of credible reporting sources.
- Scope limitation: Resolution covers only the 90-minute match plus stoppage time; extra time and penalty shootouts are not included in any market outcome.
Timing:
Resolution occurs after the match concludes (90 minutes plus stoppage time) on April 6, 2026, with official Liga Portugal statistics as the primary source within 2 hours of match end.Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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