TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$133,388,117
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,436,095,462
405,232
Markets across
30,526
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,693
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 13, 4:56 PM EST
Polymarket
In the upcoming Primeira Liga game between FC Arouca and CD Santa Clara, scheduled for September 13, 2026 at 1:00 PM ET: This market will resolve based on the final score of the FC Arouca vs. CD Santa Clara match originally scheduled for September 13, 2026 at 1:00 PM ET, considering only the result at the end of 90 minutes of regulation plus stoppage time; extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. If the actual score is not one of the explicitly listed outcomes, the market resolves to "Any Other Score." If the match is postponed, the market will remain open until it is completed; if it is canceled with no make-up game, the market resolves to "0-0." The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
In the upcoming Primeira Liga game between FC Arouca and CD Santa Clara, scheduled for September 13, 2026 at 1:00 PM ET: This market will resolve based on the final score of the FC Arouca vs. CD Santa Clara match originally scheduled for September 13, 2026 at 1:00 PM ET, considering only the result at the end of 90 minutes of regulation plus stoppage time; extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. If the actual score is not one of the explicitly listed outcomes, the market resolves to "Any Other Score." If the match is postponed, the market will remain open until it is completed; if it is canceled with no make-up game, the market resolves to "0-0." The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
Prediction market odds often differ from those offered by traditional sportsbooks due to the wisdom of the crowd effect. Sportsbooks set initial lines based on statistical models and expert analysis, while this market aggregates the opinions of many individuals, potentially uncovering insights that sportsbooks miss. If a significant discrepancy exists, arbitrage opportunities may arise, where traders can profit by simultaneously betting on both platforms. However, it's important to remember that prediction markets are forward-looking, reflecting expectations about the outcome, while sportsbook odds are primarily about setting a balanced book.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism. Traders buy and sell shares representing different exact score outcomes, and the price of each share reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The more shares purchased for a specific score, the higher its price rises, indicating increased confidence in that result. This dynamic pricing ensures that the probabilities are constantly updated based on the latest information and collective intelligence of the traders.
This market resolves around Sep 13, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final, official result of the FC Arouca vs. CD Santa Clara match, as reported by a recognized sports data provider, will determine the winning outcome. The platform will then verify the result and distribute payouts to those who correctly predicted the exact score. Traders should monitor official sources for the match result as it approaches the resolution date.
Several factors could influence trading activity and shift the probabilities in this market. Late-breaking news regarding player injuries or suspensions for either FC Arouca or CD Santa Clara would likely have a significant impact. Changes in team form, tactical adjustments, or even weather conditions on match day could also sway trader sentiment. Unexpected announcements about key personnel or managerial decisions could also move the market. Monitoring sports news and team updates will be crucial for understanding potential catalysts that could affect the outcome.