TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$103,397,351
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,410,176,180
399,592
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,622
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 19, 8:07 AM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the outcome of a professional soccer match between FC Anyang and Ulsan HD, focusing on the margin of victory for either team. The result depends on how many goals separate the winning team from the losing team at the end of regular time, excluding extra time or penalty kicks. Different thresholds define whether the market settles in favor of one team or the other.
The event resolves based on the goal differential between FC Anyang and Ulsan HD in their Korea K League 1 match scheduled for September 19, 2026, after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. Four distinct outcomes are possible: FC Anyang winning by more than 2.5 goals, FC Anyang winning by more than 1.5 goals, Ulsan HD winning by more than 1.5 goals, or Ulsan HD winning by more than 2.5 goals. Each outcome corresponds to a specific market resolution condition. The match result is determined solely by the final score at the end of regular time; extra time and penalty shootouts are excluded from consideration. Kalshi explicitly states it holds no official affiliation with the governing league, and all trademarks remain property of their respective owners.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set their lines based on models and internal analysis, while this market is driven by individuals willing to put their capital behind their beliefs about the outcome of the FC Anyang vs Ulsan HD match. It’s common to see discrepancies between the two, as prediction markets can incorporate information and insights not fully captured by sportsbook algorithms. Examining both can provide a more comprehensive view of potential outcomes.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing their beliefs about the spread in the FC Anyang vs Ulsan HD match. The price of a contract reflects the probability of that spread occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the price will fluctuate, providing a dynamic assessment of the event's potential outcomes. The current price indicates what traders are collectively willing to pay or receive for a contract tied to the final spread.
This market resolves around Sep 19, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final spread in the FC Anyang vs Ulsan HD match, as determined by official match results, will be used to determine the winning contracts. Traders who correctly predicted the spread will receive a payout, while those who predicted incorrectly will forfeit their stake. The resolution process relies on publicly available data to ensure a transparent and accurate outcome for this market.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before Sep 19, 2026. Any news regarding injuries to key players on either FC Anyang or Ulsan HD would likely have a significant impact. Changes in team form, tactical adjustments, or even weather conditions could also shift market sentiment. Unexpected announcements related to the match, such as a change in venue or referee assignment, could also cause movement. Ultimately, any information that alters perceptions of the teams' relative strengths or the likely outcome of the FC Anyang vs Ulsan HD match could move this market.