TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$126,324,530
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,434,646,834
406,019
Markets across
30,401
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,689
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jul 4, 6:30 AM EST
Polymarket
In the upcoming match between FC Anyang and Pohang Steelers FC, scheduled for July 4, 2026 at 6:30 AM ET: This market will resolve to "FC Anyang" if FC Anyang are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Pohang Steelers FC" if Pohang Steelers FC are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. If neither team scores within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, this market will resolve "Neither". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Neither". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
In the upcoming match between FC Anyang and Pohang Steelers FC, scheduled for July 4, 2026 at 6:30 AM ET: This market will resolve to "FC Anyang" if FC Anyang are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Pohang Steelers FC" if Pohang Steelers FC are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. If neither team scores within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, this market will resolve "Neither". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Neither". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
Prediction market odds and sportsbook odds often diverge because they reflect different pricing mechanisms. Sportsbooks set lines based on internal models and risk management, while prediction markets like this one are priced by traders themselves, creating a crowdsourced consensus. For a first-goal scorer outcome, sportsbooks may emphasize historical form and injury reports, whereas traders here incorporate real-time sentiment and betting flows. Comparing the two can reveal where professional oddsmakers and the crowd disagree on which team is likelier to score first.
On Polymarket, traders set prices by buying and selling shares for each outcome—in this case, whether FC Anyang or Pohang Steelers FC scores first. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price of each share reflects the collective probability assigned by the market; higher prices indicate stronger confidence in that outcome. As new information emerges or match conditions change, traders adjust their positions, moving prices up or down in real time. This continuous auction mechanism ensures the market price stays responsive to evolving expectations.
This market resolves around Jul 4, 2026, once the match concludes and the first goal is verified. The outcome is determined by which team scores the opening goal, confirmed against credible public reporting of the match result. No outcome is locked in until the event is complete and the result is clear from reliable sources. Traders holding shares in the correct outcome receive their payout once resolution is finalized.
Several factors can shift prices in this market before kickoff. Team news—such as injuries to key strikers or defensive changes—often triggers sharp moves, as do lineup announcements closer to match time. Recent form, head-to-head records, and home-field advantage can all influence trader positioning. Weather conditions and late-breaking tactical adjustments may also prompt repricing. Once the match begins, early possession, shot attempts, and goalkeeper saves can cause rapid swings as traders reassess which team is more likely to break through first.