TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$141,541,542
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,440,096,988
406,065
Markets across
30,522
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,692
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 19, 6:22 PM EST
Polymarket
In the upcoming match between FC Alverca and Rio Ave FC, scheduled for September 19, 2026 at 1:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "FC Alverca" if FC Alverca are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Rio Ave FC" if Rio Ave FC are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. If neither team scores within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, this market will resolve "Neither". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Neither". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
In the upcoming match between FC Alverca and Rio Ave FC, scheduled for September 19, 2026 at 1:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "FC Alverca" if FC Alverca are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Rio Ave FC" if Rio Ave FC are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. If neither team scores within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, this market will resolve "Neither". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Neither". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks often set initial lines based on statistical models and expert analysis, while this market allows anyone to express their belief about the outcome, potentially leading to different probabilities. If a significant discrepancy exists, arbitrage opportunities may arise, where traders can profit by simultaneously betting on both the prediction market and a sportsbook. However, it’s important to note that sportsbooks may adjust their odds based on market movements, narrowing any initial gaps.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief about whether Alverca or Rio Ave will score first. The price of each share directly reflects the implied probability of that outcome. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders buy shares in a particular outcome, its price increases, and vice versa. This dynamic pricing ensures that the market reflects the collective intelligence of all participants. The current volume traded indicates the level of interest and conviction surrounding each team's chances.
This market resolves around Sep 19, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will depend on which team, Alverca or Rio Ave, scores the first goal in the match. Any goals scored during regular play, extra time, or penalty shootouts will be considered. The outcome will be determined by official match data and verified against credible public sources. The final result will then be used to settle all outstanding shares in this market.
Several factors could influence the price movement of this market before Sep 19, 2026. Any news regarding team injuries, suspensions, or changes in starting lineups could significantly shift the odds. Unexpected weather conditions or a change in the match venue could also play a role. Additionally, pre-match analysis from sports commentators and analysts, as well as any public statements from team managers, could influence trader sentiment and affect the price of shares. Finally, large volume trades on Polymarket could also cause noticeable price fluctuations.