TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.2b

24H VOL:

$126,324,530

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,434,646,834

406,019

Markets across

30,401

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,689

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

BETA
Dashboards
Insights
Indices
Tour
All
Trending
Breaking
New
Ending Soon
Politics
Sports
Crypto
Companies
Elections
Financials
Economics
Other
Entertainment
Science and Technology
FC Alverca vs. Rio Ave FC
kalshi
polymarket
limitless

What is the result of FC Alverca vs. Rio Ave FC?

Volume:
$128,285

Alverca

all

3 markets

Kalshi

Polymarket

Limitless

consensus

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Sep 19, 2026

Closed: Sep 19, 3:04 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Alverca

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$57,103
N/A
N/A
$32,429
Settled
Yes
polymarket

FC Alverca

View
100%
52%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$7,032
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
limitless

Alverca

View
N/A
N/A
0¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Rio Ave

View
0%
22%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$28,209
N/A
N/A
$14,248
Settled
No
polymarket

Rio Ave FC

View
0%
23%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$9,796
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
limitless

Rio Ave

View
N/A
N/A
99.9¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Tie

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$25,050
N/A
N/A
$18,363
Settled
No
limitless

Draw

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
99.9¢
N/A
$1,000
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Draw (FC Alverca vs. Rio Ave FC)

View
0%
28%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$94
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 9

Description

This group forecasts the outcome of a Liga Portugal soccer match between FC Alverca and Rio Ave FC on September 19, 2026. Markets ask whether either team will win or if the match will end in a draw, settled after 90 minutes plus stoppage time.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Cancellation handling differs between Limitless and Polymarket/Kalshi, particularly for the draw market.Hero tip: Consider the cancellation scenario when trading, as Limitless's draw market resolution differs from the implied resolution on Polymarket and Kalshi.

Critical divergence points:

  • Limitless: If the match is not completed and no official result is recognized, win markets resolve to "NO" and the draw market resolves to "YES". "This market will resolve based on that result. If no official final result is recognized and no make-up match is scheduled, this market will resolve "NO."
  • Polymarket/Kalshi: If the game is canceled entirely with no make-up game, win markets resolve "No". Draw resolution is not explicitly stated but likely "No" as win markets resolve "No".
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

This event is for the upcoming Primeira Liga game, scheduled for Saturday, September 19, 2026 between FC Alverca and Rio Ave FC.

Kalshi

The event resolves based on the full-time result of the Alverca vs Rio Ave professional Liga Portugal soccer match scheduled for September 19, 2026, after 90 minutes of regular play plus any stoppage time, but excluding extra time or penalty kicks. A 'Yes' outcome applies to the specific market corresponding to the actual result: Alverca win, Rio Ave win, or Tie. If the match is cancelled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours beyond the original date, the market will resolve to a fair price, ensuring equitable treatment for all participants. The event explicitly excludes outcomes determined by extra time or penalty shootouts, focusing solely on the result at the end of regular time plus stoppage time.

Limitless

This market resolves to "YES" if the listed club wins after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time and penalty shootouts, in the match scheduled for September 19, 2026, 17:00 UTC. Otherwise, it will resolve to "NO." If the match is postponed, this market will remain open until the match has been completed. If the match is not completed as scheduled for any reason (for example, if it is abandoned, canceled, or awarded), and an official final result is recognized by the governing body or event organizers, this market will resolve based on that result. If no official final result is recognized and no make-up match is scheduled, this market will resolve "NO." Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.

Frequently asked questions

On Polymarket and Kalshi, this dashboard aggregates real-time predictions on the outcome of the Alverca vs Rio Ave match. Currently, the consensus view across these platforms indicates a probability of approximately 61 for a specific outcome, with a total volume of 7.8125. This allows users to track how the perceived likelihood of different results shifts as new information becomes available. The combined volume across both platforms is $128,285, and the 24-hour volume is $98,959, reflecting current market interest in this contest.

Prediction market odds, like those found on Polymarket and Kalshi, often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of participants, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set odds based on their own models and aim to balance risk and profit, while prediction markets are driven by individuals wagering their own capital. This can lead to discrepancies, especially when public opinion diverges from expert analysis. It’s possible to find opportunities where the implied probability from this market differs from sportsbook offerings, allowing for potential arbitrage opportunities.

Polymarket and Kalshi can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Prices on Polymarket and Kalshi can diverge due to several factors. Each platform has its own user base, trading dynamics, and fee structure, all of which can influence price discovery. Polymarket currently favors a specific outcome at a certain percentage, while Kalshi leans toward a different result. Furthermore, differing liquidity levels on each platform can amplify price movements. The volume traded on each platform, currently $128,285 overall, also plays a role, with higher volume generally leading to tighter spreads and more efficient pricing.