TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$103,397,351
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,410,176,180
399,592
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,622
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 19, 12:06 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the outcome of an upcoming professional Ettan soccer match between FBK Karlstad and Sollentuna. The contest will determine whether one team secures a victory or if the game concludes without a clear winner. Results are evaluated strictly after the regulation period, excluding any extended play or penalty shootouts.
The event resolves based on the full-time result of the FBK Karlstad vs Sollentuna professional Ettan soccer match scheduled for September 19, 2026. A 'Yes' outcome applies to the specific market corresponding to the actual result: FBK Karlstad win, Sollentuna win, or tie, all determined after 90 minutes plus any stoppage time but excluding extra time or penalty kicks. If the match is cancelled or postponed by more than 48 hours, all markets settle at a fair price, reflecting the unresolved nature of the contest. The rules explicitly clarify that Kalshi holds no official affiliation with the governing league, and all referenced trademarks remain property of their respective owners.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, while sportsbook odds are typically set by a smaller team of professionals. This can lead to differences in how each assesses the probability of various outcomes. Sportsbooks may incorporate factors like team news or injuries more quickly, but prediction markets can sometimes be more accurate in the long run due to the larger number of participants and the incentive to make informed predictions. It’s common to see this market and sportsbook odds diverge, especially as new information emerges closer to the event.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes. The price of each contract reflects the market's assessment of the probability of that outcome occurring. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the prices fluctuate, providing a dynamic representation of collective expectations. The current top market on Kalshi is for Sollentuna to win, though the chance percentage is not currently available. The volume traded in this market is a key indicator of trader interest and confidence.
This market resolves around Sep 19, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the FBK Karlstad vs Sollentuna match, as determined by the governing sports organization. Traders will be able to see the final result reflected in the market's settlement data. It's important to note that the resolution process relies on publicly available information to ensure a fair and transparent outcome for all participants in this market.
Several factors could significantly influence this market before resolution. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in team lineups, or unexpected coaching decisions could shift trader sentiment. Weather conditions on the day of the match, particularly if they favor one team's playing style, could also play a role. Furthermore, any significant updates about team performance in recent matches or changes in overall team morale could impact the odds. Unexpected announcements or controversies surrounding either team could also cause movement in this market.