TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$126,324,530
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,434,646,834
406,019
Markets across
30,401
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,689
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jul 26, 1:19 AM EST
Polymarket
In the upcoming Peru Liga 1 game between FBC Melgar and CS Cristal, scheduled for July 25, 2026 at 9:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "FBC Melgar" if FBC Melgar score more goals than CS Cristal in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Draw" if FBC Melgar and CS Cristal score the same number of goals in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "CS Cristal" if CS Cristal score more goals than FBC Melgar in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Draw". This market refers only to the outcome within the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. First-half goals, extra time, and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
In the upcoming Peru Liga 1 game between FBC Melgar and CS Cristal, scheduled for July 25, 2026 at 9:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "FBC Melgar" if FBC Melgar score more goals than CS Cristal in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Draw" if FBC Melgar and CS Cristal score the same number of goals in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "CS Cristal" if CS Cristal score more goals than FBC Melgar in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Draw". This market refers only to the outcome within the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. First-half goals, extra time, and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
Prediction market odds and traditional sportsbook odds often diverge because they reflect different participant bases and incentive structures. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and manage risk, while prediction markets aggregate the collective beliefs of traders who have real money at stake. For this match, comparing the implied probabilities on Polymarket to major sportsbooks can reveal where the crowd's conviction differs from bookmaker pricing. Sharper traders often exploit these gaps, making prediction markets a useful lens for spotting value or consensus shifts in real time.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through an automated market maker that converts trader activity into real-time odds. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Shares representing each possible outcome trade continuously, and the current price of each reflects the cumulative bets placed by the community. As more traders buy or sell a particular outcome, its price adjusts upward or downward, creating a dynamic equilibrium. This mechanism ensures transparent, friction-free pricing and allows you to enter or exit positions at any time before the market closes.
This market resolves around Jul 26, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The result will reflect the actual second-half scoreline and winner of the Melgar versus Cristal fixture. Once the match concludes and the final result is established, all open positions settle based on which outcome occurred. Traders holding the correct prediction receive their payout, while incorrect positions expire worthless.
Several factors can shift odds before Jul 26, 2026. Team news—injuries, suspensions, or lineup changes announced before kickoff—often triggers sharp movement as informed traders adjust positions. First-half momentum and scoreline can significantly influence second-half expectations; a team trailing by multiple goals may face longer odds to win the second half. Weather conditions, referee assignments, and recent form updates also influence trader sentiment. Major betting syndicates or professional sharp action can cause rapid repricing, so monitoring social media, team announcements, and live match developments helps you stay ahead of market moves.