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Fatih Karagumruk Istanbul vs. Manisa Futbol Kulubu
polymarket
kalshi

What is the result of Fatih Karagumruk Istanbul vs. Manisa Futbol Kulubu?

Volume:
$9,039

Tie

all

2 markets

Kalshi

Polymarket

consensus

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Sep 13, 2026

Closed: Sep 13, 3:04 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Tie

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$4,805
N/A
N/A
$4,411
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Draw (Fatih Karagumruk Istanbul vs. Manisa Futbol Kulubu)

View
100%
75%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$112
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Manisa

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,473
N/A
N/A
$1,472
Settled
No
polymarket

Manisa Futbol Kulubu

View
0%
25%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$466
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Karagumruk

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,148
N/A
N/A
$922
Settled
No
polymarket

Fatih Karagumruk Istanbul

View
0%
50%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,036
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 6

Description

This prediction group concerns the outcome of a soccer match between Fatih Karagumruk Istanbul and Manisa Futbol Kulubu scheduled for September 13, 2026. Markets ask whether either team will win or if the match will end in a draw, based on the result after 90 minutes of play plus stoppage time.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)

All platforms utilize the same core resolution criteria: determining the winner (or a draw) within 90 minutes plus stoppage time, and a consistent fallback resolution process.Primary resolution logic: Official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers (TFF.org).

Core resolution logic:

  • The market resolves based on the outcome of the match within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time.
  • If the game is postponed, the market remains open until the game is completed.
  • If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, win markets resolve 'No' and draw markets resolve 'Yes'.

Edge cases & clarifications:

  • Data Availability: If official statistics are unavailable within 2 hours of the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore will be used, followed by Sofascore, and finally a consensus of credible reporting. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours, the market resolves 50-50 or to 'Draw' where applicable.
  • Score Revisions: Revisions to officially declared final scores made *after* market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
Timing: Resolution will occur as soon as official match statistics are published, or within 24 hours of the event's conclusion if fallback sources are required.Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

This event is for the upcoming Turkey 1. Lig game, scheduled for Sunday, September 13, 2026 between Fatih Karagumruk Istanbul and Manisa Futbol Kulubu.

Kalshi

The event determines the winner of the Karagumruk vs Manisa professional TFF 1. Lig soccer match scheduled for September 13, 2026, based exclusively on the result after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding any extra time or penalty shootouts. Three distinct outcomes are possible: a win for Karagumruk, a win for Manisa, or a tie. If the match concludes with either team winning within regulation time, the corresponding market resolves to Yes. Should the game end in a tie after regulation, the Tie market resolves to Yes. In the event the match is cancelled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours beyond the original date, all markets will resolve to a fair price as determined by the governing rules. The resolution strictly adheres to the regulation time result, with no consideration for post-regulation proceedings.

Frequently asked questions

Prediction market odds, like those found on Polymarket and Kalshi, often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set odds based on their own models and aim to profit from imbalances in betting, while prediction markets incentivize accurate forecasting. This market’s implied probabilities may differ from those offered by sportsbooks due to varying information sources and differing incentives. It's common to see discrepancies, especially before significant events or when new information emerges, making both a valuable source of insight.

Polymarket and Kalshi can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Prices on Polymarket and Kalshi can diverge due to several factors. Different trader bases, varying liquidity, and distinct market-making strategies all contribute to price discrepancies. Polymarket might attract a different type of trader than Kalshi, leading to differing interpretations of the same information. Additionally, the volume traded on each platform—currently $9,039—influences price discovery. These differences are normal and reflect the independent price-setting mechanisms of each platform, offering opportunities for arbitrage.