TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$141,541,542
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,440,096,988
406,065
Markets across
30,522
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,692
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 29, 1:41 AM EST
Polymarket
This market will resolve to the team defense and special teams (D/ST) unit that finishes Week 3 of the 2026-27 NFL regular season as the highest-scoring D/ST under the default scoring of ESPN Fantasy Sports. Only games designated by the NFL as Week 3 of the 2026-27 regular season count. If two or more units are tied for the most fantasy points in Week 3, this market will resolve in favor of the tied unit whose team name comes first alphabetically. If the highest-scoring D/ST in Week 3 of the 2026-27 NFL regular season is not a listed unit, this market will resolve to "Other". If Week 3 of the 2026-27 NFL regular season is cancelled, postponed past October 14, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or a leader cannot be determined within this timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source will be official Week 3 statistics as reported by ESPN Fantasy Sports (https://www.espn.com/fantasy/).
This market will resolve to the team defense and special teams (D/ST) unit that finishes Week 3 of the 2026-27 NFL regular season as the highest-scoring D/ST under the default scoring of ESPN Fantasy Sports. Only games designated by the NFL as Week 3 of the 2026-27 regular season count. If two or more units are tied for the most fantasy points in Week 3, this market will resolve in favor of the tied unit whose team name comes first alphabetically. If the highest-scoring D/ST in Week 3 of the 2026-27 NFL regular season is not a listed unit, this market will resolve to "Other". If Week 3 of the 2026-27 NFL regular season is cancelled, postponed past October 14, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or a leader cannot be determined within this timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source will be official Week 3 statistics as reported by ESPN Fantasy Sports (https://www.espn.com/fantasy/).
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and need to account for profit margins, while this market is driven purely by traders’ beliefs about the likelihood of each outcome. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially early in the market, as prediction markets can incorporate information and adjust rapidly to news and analysis. Comparing these odds to those offered by sportsbooks can reveal insights into public perception versus expert opinion.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in each team’s probability of leading in D/ST points. The price of a share directly corresponds to the implied probability of that outcome. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders buy shares of a particular team, the price increases, reflecting growing confidence in their chances. Conversely, selling pressure lowers the price. This dynamic pricing ensures the market reflects the collective intelligence of all participants.
This market resolves around Sep 29, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the final D/ST point totals for Week 3 of the 2026-27 NFL season are verifiable from credible public reporting. The team with the highest point total, as officially recorded by the NFL, will be declared the winner. The resolution will be based on official NFL statistics and will be determined independently of the platform, ensuring a fair and transparent outcome for all traders involved in this market.
Several factors could significantly shift the odds in this market. Injury reports for key defensive players on leading teams will be closely watched, as will any changes in coaching strategies or team matchups. Unexpected performance in the first two weeks of the season could also cause traders to reassess their predictions. Late-breaking news regarding player availability, weather conditions, or even rule changes could all influence trading activity and lead to substantial movements in the probabilities associated with each team’s chances of leading the NFL D/ST points race.