TOTAL VOLUME:

$134b

24H VOL:

$107,351,958

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,416,970,024

400,720

Markets across

30,097

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,633

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Fantasy Football: 2026-27 Week 1 WR Points Leader (PPR)
kalshi
polymarket

Who will lead WR points in Week 1?

Volume:
$6,688

Amon-Ra St. Brown

all

2 markets

Kalshi

Polymarket

consensus

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Sep 15, 2026

Closed: Sep 14, 11:59 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Amon-Ra St. Brown

View
100%
15%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$671
N/A
N/A
$578
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Amon-Ra St. Brown

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$56
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Jalen Coker

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
1¢
N/A
$255
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Jalen Coker

View
100%
1%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$110
N/A
N/A
$110
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Justin Jefferson

View
100%
5%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$151
N/A
N/A
$129
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Justin Jefferson

View
0%
50%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$56
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Christian Watson

View
100%
1%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$110
N/A
N/A
$110
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Christian Watson

View
0%
75%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$56
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Chris Olave

View
100%
2%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$62
N/A
N/A
$62
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Chris Olave

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$148
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Ja'Marr Chase

View
0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$566
N/A
N/A
$300
Settled
No
polymarket

Ja'Marr Chase

View
0%
50%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$56
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Puka Nacua

View
0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$235
N/A
N/A
$235
Settled
No
polymarket

Puka Nacua

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$56
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Luther Burden III

View
0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$227
N/A
N/A
$227
Settled
No
polymarket

Luther Burden III

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$56
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

DK Metcalf

View
0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$132
N/A
N/A
$132
Settled
No
polymarket

DK Metcalf

View
0%
50%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$56
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Quentin Johnston

View
0%
8%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$127
N/A
N/A
$127
Settled
No
polymarket

Quentin Johnston

View
0%
70%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$56
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Courtland Sutton

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$90
N/A
N/A
$90
Settled
No
polymarket

Courtland Sutton

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$56
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Tetairoa McMillan

View
0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$77
N/A
N/A
$77
Settled
No
polymarket

Tetairoa McMillan

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$56
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Jaylen Waddle

View
0%
13%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$72
N/A
N/A
$72
Settled
No
Total markets: 25 of 117

Description

This prediction group asks forecasters to predict which wide receiver will score the most fantasy points in Week 1 of the 2026-27 NFL season using standard PPR scoring. The markets cover a wide range of potential players, and resolution relies on official statistics from ESPN Fantasy Sports.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Polymarket asks for the single highest-scoring WR, while Kalshi asks if a WR will finish in the top 5.Hero tip: Kalshi markets are effectively 'inclusion' probabilities, while Polymarket is a 'winner' probability. A player could be a strong 'top 5' candidate without being the outright favorite.

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: Resolves to the single WR with the highest PPR points in Week 1. Tiebreaker is alphabetical by last name. Source: ESPN Fantasy Sports.
  • Kalshi: Resolves to whether a specific WR finishes within the top 5 highest in total PPR points in Week 1. Source: ESPN Fantasy Sports.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

This market will resolve to the wide receiver that finishes Week 1 of the 2026-27 NFL regular season as the highest-scoring WR under standard PPR (points-per-reception) scoring per the default scoring of ESPN Fantasy Sports. Only games designated by the NFL as Week 1 of the 2026-27 regular season count. If two or more players are tied for the most fantasy points in Week 1, this market will resolve in favor of the tied player whose last name comes first alphabetically. If the highest-scoring WR in Week 1 of the 2026-27 NFL regular season is not a listed player, this market will resolve to "Other". If Week 1 of the 2026-27 NFL regular season is cancelled, postponed past September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or a leader cannot be determined within this timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source will be official Week 1 statistics as reported by ESPN Fantasy Sports (https://www.espn.com/fantasy/).

Kalshi

Each market resolves to 'Yes' if the named player finishes within the top five in total full-PPR fantasy points among all wide receivers in Week 1 of the 2026 NFL regular season. Rankings are determined using Sleeper's official scoring system, which includes points for receptions, yards, touchdowns, and special teams plays. Players who do not participate in the week are considered to have scored zero points. If multiple players tie for the fifth position, each tied player's contract settles at a fractional value based on the number of tied players (e.g., 1/2 for two tied players). All markets share these consistent rules, with no additional variations between individual player markets.

Frequently asked questions

On Polymarket and Kalshi, this dashboard aggregates real-time predictions on who will be the highest-scoring Wide Receiver in Week 1 of the 2026-27 NFL fantasy football season, using a standard Points Per Reception (PPR) scoring format. Currently, the combined volume across both platforms is $6,688, with $1,153 traded in the last 24 hours. The dashboard displays a consensus view of probabilities, though individual platform prices may vary. This allows traders to compare expectations for the 2026-27 Fantasy Football WR market and identify potential arbitrage opportunities. The current leading outcomes reflect differing opinions between the two venues.

Prediction market odds, like those found in this market, reflect the collective wisdom of traders and often provide a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while prediction markets allow anyone to express their belief about the outcome. This can lead to discrepancies, particularly when public sentiment strongly diverges from expert opinion. While a direct comparison requires looking at sportsbook lines closer to Week 1 of the 2026-27 season, the implied probabilities in this market can offer valuable insight beyond traditional odds.

Numerous signals could impact trading activity in this market. Preseason performance, including training camp reports and preseason games, will likely be a major driver of price movement. Injuries to key wide receivers, or the emergence of unexpected breakout players, could also significantly shift the odds. News regarding team offensive schemes or quarterback changes could also influence traders' expectations. Finally, any late-breaking news regarding player availability or health leading up to Week 1 of the 2026-27 season will undoubtedly move this market.