TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.2b

24H VOL:

$130,522,377

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,438,389,636

404,028

Markets across

30,214

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,681

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Fantasy Football: 2026-27 Week 1 TE Points Leader (PPR)
kalshi
polymarket

Who will lead TE points in Week 1?

Volume:
$8,757

Isaiah Likely

all

2 markets

Polymarket

Kalshi

consensus

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Sep 15, 2026

Closed: Sep 15, 4:19 AM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

Isaiah Likely

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$1,904
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Isaiah Likely

View
100%
1%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$786
N/A
N/A
$786
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Trey McBride

View
100%
1%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$699
N/A
N/A
$656
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Trey McBride

View
0%
71%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$272
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Dallas Goedert

View
100%
1%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$415
N/A
N/A
$415
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Dallas Goedert

View
0%
47%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$14
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Dalton Kincaid

View
100%
99%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$31
N/A
N/A
$21
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Dalton Kincaid

View
0%
47%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$14
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Colston Loveland

View
0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,748
N/A
N/A
$1,198
Settled
No
polymarket

Colston Loveland

View
0%
23%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$44
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Michael Mayer

View
0%
27%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,002
N/A
N/A
$1,001
Settled
No
polymarket

Brock Bowers

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$459
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Tucker Kraft

View
0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$283
N/A
N/A
$283
Settled
No
polymarket

Tucker Kraft

View
0%
23%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$14
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Sam LaPorta

View
0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$260
N/A
N/A
$260
Settled
No
polymarket

Sam LaPorta

View
0%
47%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$14
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Tyler Warren

View
0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$111
N/A
N/A
$101
Settled
No
polymarket

Tyler Warren

View
0%
23%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$14
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Juwan Johnson

View
0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$110
N/A
N/A
$110
Settled
No
polymarket

Juwan Johnson

View
0%
23%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$14
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Harold Fannin Jr.

View
0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$91
N/A
N/A
$91
Settled
No
polymarket

Harold Fannin Jr.

View
0%
23%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$14
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

George Kittle

View
0%
28%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$63
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

George Kittle

View
0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$10
N/A
N/A
$10
Settled
No
kalshi

Mark Andrews

View
0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$35
N/A
N/A
$25
Settled
No
Total markets: 25 of 58

Description

This prediction market asks forecasters to predict which tight end will score the most fantasy points in Week 1 of the 2026-27 NFL season using standard PPR scoring. The markets cover a wide range of potential players, including established stars and emerging rookies.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Polymarket asks for the single highest scorer, while Kalshi asks about finishing in the top 5. This represents a significant difference in scope and resolution criteria.Hero tip: If you believe a player will be a strong performer but not necessarily *the* highest scorer, Kalshi markets may offer better value. Polymarket is best for strong convictions about the outright leader.

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: Resolves to the highest-scoring TE in Week 1, with a tiebreaker based on last name. Includes an 'Other' option. Source: ESPN Fantasy Sports. "If two or more players are tied for the most fantasy points in Week 1, this market will resolve in favor of the tied player whose last name comes first alphabetically."
  • Kalshi: Resolves to whether a listed TE finishes within the top 5 highest-scoring TEs in Week 1. Does not have an 'Other' option. "If Trey McBride finishes within the top 5 highest in total full-PPR fantasy points for all TEs in Week 1 of the 2026 Pro Football regular season, then the market resolves to Yes."
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

This market will resolve to the tight end that finishes Week 1 of the 2026-27 NFL regular season as the highest-scoring TE under standard PPR (points-per-reception) scoring per the default scoring of ESPN Fantasy Sports. Only games designated by the NFL as Week 1 of the 2026-27 regular season count. If two or more players are tied for the most fantasy points in Week 1, this market will resolve in favor of the tied player whose last name comes first alphabetically. If the highest-scoring TE in Week 1 of the 2026-27 NFL regular season is not a listed player, this market will resolve to "Other". If Week 1 of the 2026-27 NFL regular season is cancelled, postponed past September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or a leader cannot be determined within this timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source will be official Week 1 statistics as reported by ESPN Fantasy Sports (https://www.espn.com/fantasy/).

Kalshi

Each market resolves to Yes only if the named player finishes within the top five in total full-PPR fantasy points among all eligible tight ends in Week 1 of the 2026 NFL regular season. Scoring follows Sleeper’s default full-PPR system, which awards points for receptions, receiving yards, touchdowns, and additional categories including kicking and defensive contributions. Players who do not participate that week are treated as scoring zero points. If multiple players tie for the fifth position, contracts settle proportionally based on the fraction of qualifying positions each tied player occupies (e.g., $0.50 per contract if two players share the fifth spot). All rankings include players without listed markets, with eligibility determined by Sleeper at the time of settlement.

Frequently asked questions

Prediction market odds, like those found in this market, often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set odds based on their own models and aim to profit from imbalances in public perception. Prediction markets, however, allow anyone to participate and express their beliefs, leading to a more dynamic and potentially more accurate assessment of probabilities. Differences can arise due to varying levels of information, analytical approaches, and risk tolerance among participants in each venue. The spread between prediction market and sportsbook odds can sometimes be significant, offering opportunities for arbitrage.

Several signals and events could significantly impact this market. Preseason performance, including training camp reports and exhibition games, will provide early indications of player form and potential. Injuries to key tight ends are a major catalyst, as they can dramatically alter the competitive landscape. Coaching decisions regarding player usage and offensive schemes will also be closely watched. Late-breaking news regarding player trades or changes in team dynamics could also cause substantial shifts in probabilities. Any significant news related to player health or team strategy will likely influence trading activity and move the odds in this market.