TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.1b

24H VOL:

$113,466,932

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,423,222,590

402,751

Markets across

30,217

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,632

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Fantasy Football: 2026-27 Week 1 RB Points Leader (PPR)
kalshi
polymarket

Who will lead RB points in Week 1?

Volume:
$7,092

Jahmyr Gibbs

all

2 markets

Kalshi

Polymarket

consensus

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Sep 15, 2026

Closed: Sep 14, 11:59 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Jahmyr Gibbs

View
100%
1%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$1,302
N/A
N/A
$961
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Jahmyr Gibbs

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$13
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Kenneth Walker

View
100%
84%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$645
N/A
N/A
$290
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Kenneth Walker III

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$20
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Derrick Henry

View
100%
1%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$297
N/A
N/A
$287
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Derrick Henry

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
1¢
N/A
$297
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

D'Andre Swift

View
100%
1%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$190
N/A
N/A
$130
Settled
Yes
polymarket

D'Andre Swift

View
0%
28%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$13
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Ashton Jeanty

View
100%
1%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$142
N/A
N/A
$122
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Ashton Jeanty

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$13
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Omarion Hampton

View
0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$868
N/A
N/A
$858
Settled
No
polymarket

Omarion Hampton

View
0%
28%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$13
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Saquon Barkley

View
0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$590
N/A
N/A
$332
Settled
No
polymarket

Saquon Barkley

View
0%
28%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$13
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Bhayshul Tuten

View
0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$573
N/A
N/A
$302
Settled
No
polymarket

Bhayshul Tuten

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$13
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Bijan Robinson

View
0%
98%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$238
N/A
N/A
$151
Settled
No
polymarket

Bijan Robinson

View
0%
28%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$13
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

David Montgomery

View
0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$237
N/A
N/A
$183
Settled
No
polymarket

David Montgomery

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$13
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Chase Brown

View
0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$203
N/A
N/A
$173
Settled
No
polymarket

Chase Brown

View
0%
43%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$13
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

De'Von Achane

View
0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$199
N/A
N/A
$189
Settled
No
polymarket

De'Von Achane

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$13
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Christian McCaffrey

View
0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$198
N/A
N/A
$198
Settled
No
Total markets: 25 of 91

Description

This prediction group asks which running back will score the most fantasy points in Week 1 of the 2026-27 NFL season using standard PPR scoring. The markets cover a wide range of potential players, and resolution relies on official statistics from ESPN Fantasy Sports.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Kalshi markets ask if a player will finish in the top 5, while Polymarket asks who will be the outright leader. This creates a significant difference in the probability of a 'Yes' outcome on Kalshi versus a win on Polymarket.Hero tip: Kalshi markets offer more opportunities for positive outcomes (multiple players can resolve 'Yes'), while Polymarket is a zero-sum game. Consider diversifying across both platforms based on your risk tolerance and conviction.

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: Resolves to the single highest-scoring RB in Week 1 of the 2026-27 NFL season under standard PPR scoring. Tiebreaker is alphabetical order of last name. 'Other' resolves if no listed player leads or Week 1 is cancelled/postponed. "This market will resolve to the running back that finishes Week 1 of the 2026-27 NFL regular season as the highest-scoring RB..."
  • Kalshi: Resolves to 'Yes' if a player finishes within the top 5 highest-scoring RBs in Week 1 of the 2026-27 NFL season. Multiple players can resolve 'Yes'. "If Jahmyr Gibbs finishes within the top 5 highest in total full-PPR fantasy points for all RBs in Week 1 of the 2026 Pro Football regular season, then the market resolves to Yes."
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

This market will resolve to the running back that finishes Week 1 of the 2026-27 NFL regular season as the highest-scoring RB under standard PPR (points-per-reception) scoring per the default scoring of ESPN Fantasy Sports. Only games designated by the NFL as Week 1 of the 2026-27 regular season count. If two or more players are tied for the most fantasy points in Week 1, this market will resolve in favor of the tied player whose last name comes first alphabetically. If the highest-scoring RB in Week 1 of the 2026-27 NFL regular season is not a listed player, this market will resolve to "Other". If Week 1 of the 2026-27 NFL regular season is cancelled, postponed past September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or a leader cannot be determined within this timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source will be official Week 1 statistics as reported by ESPN Fantasy Sports (https://www.espn.com/fantasy/).

Kalshi

All markets resolve based on whether the named running back finishes within the top five in total full-PPR fantasy points for all eligible RBs in Week 1 of the 2026 NFL regular season, using Sleeper's scoring system. Players who do not participate that week are treated as scoring zero points. Ties at the qualifying position result in proportional settlement (e.g., 1/N for N tied players). The scoring system awards points for passing, rushing, receiving, kicking, defense/special teams performance, and individual player special teams/fumbles, with specific point values detailed in the secondary rules. All trademarks and branding belong to their respective owners; Kalshi has no official affiliation with the NFL or Sleeper.

Frequently asked questions

Prediction market odds, like those found in this market, often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set lines based on statistical models and expert analysis, while prediction markets aggregate individual forecasts. This can lead to discrepancies, especially when public sentiment strongly diverges from expert opinion. While a direct comparison requires examining specific odds at the time, prediction markets can sometimes identify mispriced outcomes before sportsbooks adjust, and vice versa. The current volume of this market is $7,092.

Polymarket and Kalshi can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Differences in user base, trading fees, and market-specific rules can all contribute to price discrepancies between Polymarket and Kalshi. For example, Polymarket might attract more casual fantasy football enthusiasts, while Kalshi could be favored by professional prediction market traders. These differing participant profiles can lead to variations in how information is interpreted and reflected in the market price. Furthermore, the liquidity—or volume—on each platform impacts price discovery, and the current volume for this market is $7,092.