TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.1b

24H VOL:

$113,466,932

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,423,222,590

402,751

Markets across

30,217

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,632

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Fantasy Football: 2026-27 Week 1 Overall Points Leader (PPR)
polymarket
kalshi

Who will lead in Fantasy Football Week 1?

Volume:
$8,572

Caleb Williams

all

2 markets

Kalshi

Polymarket

consensus

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Sep 15, 2026

Closed: Sep 14, 11:59 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Caleb Williams

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$527
N/A
N/A
$527
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Caleb Williams

View
100%
24%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
18¢
N/A
$296
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Omarion Hampton

View
0%
54%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$382
N/A
N/A
$382
Settled
No
polymarket

Omarion Hampton

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$68
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Ja'Marr Chase

View
0%
14%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$317
N/A
N/A
$317
Settled
No
polymarket

Ja'Marr Chase

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$76
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Jahmyr Gibbs

View
0%
96%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$299
N/A
N/A
$298
Settled
No
polymarket

Jahmyr Gibbs

View
0%
31%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$78
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Breece Hall

View
0%
5%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$131
N/A
N/A
$131
Settled
No
polymarket

Breece Hall

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$78
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Brock Purdy

View
0%
5%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$94
N/A
N/A
$94
Settled
No
polymarket

Brock Purdy

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$76
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Justin Herbert

View
0%
5%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$94
N/A
N/A
$94
Settled
No
polymarket

Justin Herbert

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$78
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Tetairoa McMillan

View
0%
5%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$94
N/A
N/A
$94
Settled
No
polymarket

Tetairoa McMillan

View
0%
94%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$68
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Bucky Irving

View
0%
5%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$94
N/A
N/A
$94
Settled
No
polymarket

Bucky Irving

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$50
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Tre Tucker

View
0%
5%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$94
N/A
N/A
$94
Settled
No
kalshi

Bijan Robinson

View
0%
7%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$83
N/A
N/A
$83
Settled
No
polymarket

Bijan Robinson

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$68
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Puka Nacua

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$78
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Puka Nacua

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Lamar Jackson

View
0%
31%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$78
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Lamar Jackson

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 25 of 228

Description

This prediction market asks forecasters to predict which NFL player will score the most fantasy points in Week 1 of the 2026-27 NFL season using standard PPR scoring. The markets cover a wide range of players, and resolve to the highest scorer as determined by ESPN Fantasy Sports.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Kalshi lacks an 'Other' option and a cancellation clause present in Polymarket, creating a scope difference and potential resolution risk.Hero tip: Consider the likelihood of a player *not* listed on Kalshi outperforming the listed players. If you believe this is possible, Polymarket's 'Other' option provides a hedge.

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: Resolves to the highest-scoring player with an alphabetical tiebreaker. Includes an 'Other' option and a cancellation clause if Week 1 is delayed past September 30, 2026. Source: ESPN Fantasy Sports.
  • Kalshi: Resolves to the highest-scoring player among the listed options. No 'Other' option or cancellation clause. Source: ESPN Fantasy Sports.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

This market will resolve to the player that finishes Week 1 of the 2026-27 NFL regular season as the highest-scoring player overall under standard PPR (points-per-reception) scoring per the default scoring of ESPN Fantasy Sports. Only games designated by the NFL as Week 1 of the 2026-27 regular season count. If two or more players are tied for the most fantasy points in Week 1, this market will resolve in favor of the tied player whose last name comes first alphabetically. If the highest-scoring player in Week 1 of the 2026-27 NFL regular season is not one of the players listed in this market, this market will resolve to "Other". If Week 1 of the 2026-27 NFL regular season is cancelled, postponed past September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or a leader cannot be determined within this timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source will be official Week 1 statistics as reported by ESPN Fantasy Sports (https://www.espn.com/fantasy/).

Kalshi

Each market resolves based on whether the specified player finishes with the highest total full-PPR fantasy points for all players in Week 1 of the 2026 NFL regular season, using Sleeper's scoring system. If the designated player achieves the highest score, the market resolves to Yes; otherwise, it resolves to No. In cases where multiple players tie for the highest points, the payout is divided equally among all tied players (1/N, where N is the number of tied players), and no holder will receive $1 minus the Yes payout. Players who do not participate in the week are considered to have scored zero points. The scoring format includes detailed point allocations for passing, rushing, receiving, kicking, defensive/special teams performances, and individual player special teams/fumbles.

Frequently asked questions

On Polymarket and Kalshi, this dashboard tracks the consensus view of who will be the overall points leader in Week 1 of the 2026-27 NFL fantasy football season, using a standard Points Per Reception (PPR) scoring format. Currently, the aggregated volume across both platforms is $8,572, with $698 traded in the last 24 hours. The dashboard displays probabilities derived from trading activity on each platform, allowing you to compare how different traders are assessing the likelihood of various players leading in points. This allows for a comprehensive view of the 2026-27 Fantasy Football market.

Prediction market odds, like those found on Polymarket and Kalshi, often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and risk management, while this market is driven by individuals betting their own capital. This can lead to discrepancies, especially when public opinion diverges from expert analysis. While sportsbooks focus on implied probability based on payout structures, this market directly shows the probability traders assign to an outcome. It's important to consider both when evaluating potential value.