TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.1b

24H VOL:

$133,388,117

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,436,095,462

405,232

Markets across

30,526

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,693

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Fantasy Football: 2026-27 Week 1 D/ST Points Leader
kalshi
polymarket

Who leads in D/ST points in Week 1?

Volume:
$27,436

PIT Steelers D/ST: Over 9 fantasy points

 - Kalshi

PIT Steelers D/ST: Over 9 fantasy points - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Sep 15, 2026

Closed: Sep 13, 4:49 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

PIT Steelers D/ST: Over 9 fantasy points

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$1,087
N/A
N/A
$1,087
Settled
Yes
kalshi

ATL Falcons D/ST: Over 5.9 fantasy points

View
100%
50%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$520
N/A
N/A
$520
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Bijan Robinson: Over 20 fantasy points

View
100%
58%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$466
N/A
N/A
$456
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Cincinnati Bengals D/ST

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
18¢
N/A
$225
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Nick Folk: Over 6.1 fantasy points

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$178
N/A
N/A
$168
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Chris Boswell: Over 6 fantasy points

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$101
N/A
N/A
$101
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Tua Tagovailoa: Over 15.3 fantasy points

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$19,269
N/A
N/A
$6,128
Settled
No
kalshi

Jaylen Warren: Over 13.1 fantasy points

View
0%
43%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,399
N/A
N/A
$1,313
Settled
No
kalshi

Kyle Pitts Sr.: Over 10.6 fantasy points

View
0%
43%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$618
N/A
N/A
$553
Settled
No
kalshi

Drake London: Over 15.4 fantasy points

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$509
N/A
N/A
$509
Settled
No
kalshi

Rico Dowdle: Over 12.2 fantasy points

View
0%
39%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$488
N/A
N/A
$488
Settled
No
kalshi

Aaron Rodgers: Over 14.9 fantasy points

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$388
N/A
N/A
$388
Settled
No
kalshi

DK Metcalf: Over 11.8 fantasy points

View
0%
40%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$124
N/A
N/A
$124
Settled
No
polymarket

Tennessee Titans D/ST

View
0%
52%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$113
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Jacksonville Jaguars D/ST

View
0%
64%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$98
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Michael Pittman Jr.: Over 10.6 fantasy points

View
0%
50%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$88
N/A
N/A
$88
Settled
No
polymarket

New York Giants D/ST

View
0%
46%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$83
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Arizona Cardinals D/ST

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$83
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Atlanta Falcons D/ST

View
0%
48%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$83
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

New Orleans Saints D/ST

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$63
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

New England Patriots D/ST

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$63
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Washington Commanders D/ST

View
0%
50%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$58
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Baltimore Ravens D/ST

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$58
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Buffalo Bills D/ST

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$58
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Carolina Panthers D/ST

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$58
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 25 of 51

Description

This prediction market asks participants to forecast which NFL team's defense and special teams (D/ST) will score the most fantasy points in Week 1 of the 2026-27 NFL season, using ESPN's default fantasy scoring. Ties are broken alphabetically by team name. The market also accounts for potential cancellation or postponement of Week 1 games.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Kalshi markets focus on individual game performance, while Polymarket focuses on the overall Week 1 leader. The Kalshi markets are irrelevant to the Polymarket question.Hero tip: Trade the Polymarket market based on Week 1 D/ST projections and ignore the Kalshi markets, as they are unrelated.

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: Predicts the highest-scoring D/ST in Week 1 of the 2026-27 NFL season based on ESPN Fantasy Sports scoring. Resolves to the team with the highest points, breaking ties alphabetically. "This market will resolve to the team defense and special teams (D/ST) unit that finishes Week 1 of the 2026-27 NFL regular season as the highest-scoring D/ST under the default scoring of ESPN Fantasy Sports."
  • Kalshi: Offers markets on individual player and D/ST performance within a specific game (Atlanta vs. Pittsburgh). Resolves based on whether a player or D/ST exceeds a specified fantasy point threshold in that single game. "If PIT Steelers D/ST records above 9 fantasy points in the Full game (including overtime) of the Atlanta vs Pittsburgh Pro Football game originally scheduled for Sep 13, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes."
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

This market will resolve to the team defense and special teams (D/ST) unit that finishes Week 1 of the 2026-27 NFL regular season as the highest-scoring D/ST under the default scoring of ESPN Fantasy Sports. Only games designated by the NFL as Week 1 of the 2026-27 regular season count. If two or more units are tied for the most fantasy points in Week 1, this market will resolve in favor of the tied unit whose team name comes first alphabetically. If the highest-scoring D/ST in Week 1 of the 2026-27 NFL regular season is not a listed unit, this market will resolve to "Other". If Week 1 of the 2026-27 NFL regular season is cancelled, postponed past September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or a leader cannot be determined within this timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source will be official Week 1 statistics as reported by ESPN Fantasy Sports (https://www.espn.com/fantasy/).

Kalshi

All markets resolve based on fantasy points accumulated by specified players or defensive units during the full game, including overtime, of the Atlanta vs Pittsburgh match scheduled for Sep 13, 2026. Fantasy points are calculated using Sleeper’s default full-PPR scoring system, which awards points for various statistical categories such as passing and rushing yards, touchdowns, receptions, field goals, sacks, interceptions, and defensive performances. Players who do not participate or are not assigned a fantasy-point value by Sleeper are considered to have scored zero points. The official fantasy-point totals published by Sleeper at the time of market expiration are used for resolution, with no adjustments for post-expiration corrections. Markets resolve to "Yes" if the specified athlete or defensive unit records more fantasy points than the threshold outlined in the respective rule; otherwise, they resolve to "No". Each rule specifies a unique athlete or unit and a distinct point threshold that must be exceeded for a favorable outcome.

Frequently asked questions

On Polymarket and Kalshi, this dashboard tracks the consensus view on which NFL Defense/Special Teams unit will score the most points in Week 1 of the 2026-27 season. Currently, Polymarket currently favors the San Francisco 49ers D/ST at 99, while Kalshi does not have a clear leading outcome. The dashboard aggregates trading volume of $27,436 and 24-hour volume of $5,440 across both platforms, offering a comprehensive look at the NFL D/ST points race. This allows users to see where the smart money is flowing in this predictive market.

Prediction market odds, like those found on Polymarket and Kalshi, often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set odds based on their own models and risk management, while this market relies on individuals betting with their own capital. This can lead to discrepancies, especially when public sentiment diverges from expert analysis. While sportsbooks typically offer simpler bet types, this market allows for more nuanced predictions about the NFL D/ST points race. The difference in odds can also reflect differing levels of liquidity and market efficiency.

Polymarket and Kalshi can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Prices on Polymarket and Kalshi may differ due to variations in user base, trading activity, and market-specific rules. Polymarket might attract a different type of trader than Kalshi, leading to differing opinions on the likely outcome of the NFL D/ST points race. Furthermore, the volume of trading on each platform—currently $27,436 overall—can influence price discovery. Different fee structures and liquidity provisions on each platform can also contribute to these price discrepancies. It’s important to consider these factors when analyzing the market and forming your own predictions.