TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$126,590,312
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,439,516,703
404,175
Markets across
30,277
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,685
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 13, 6:00 PM EST
Kalshi
This event focuses on the margin of victory in the same soccer match, evaluating whether either team wins by a sufficient number of goals. The result hinges on the difference in scores between Famalicao and Sporting CP.
The event resolves based on the goal differential in the Famalicao vs Sporting CP professional Liga Portugal soccer match scheduled for September 13, 2026, after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time and penalties. Two markets assess whether Famalicao wins by more than specified margins, and two markets assess whether Sporting CP wins by more than specified margins. Each market resolves to 'Yes' if the winning team’s victory exceeds the stated goal differential. Kalshi disclaims any official affiliation with the governing league, and all trademarks remain the property of their respective owners.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of forecasters, potentially differing from sportsbook odds which can be influenced by factors like house bias or public perception. Sportsbooks may initially set lines to attract balanced betting, while this market allows traders to continuously adjust probabilities based on new information and analysis. It's common to see discrepancies, especially before significant events or when new information emerges, as traders incorporate their own assessments into the price of this market. Examining these differences can offer valuable insights.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing potential outcomes. The price of a contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as determined by supply and demand. Traders submit bids and asks, and when a match occurs, a trade is executed. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The current price indicates what the market believes is the likelihood of a particular result in the Sporting CP vs Famalicao match, and changes dynamically as new information becomes available and traders update their forecasts.
This market resolves around Sep 13, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final result of the Sporting CP vs Famalicao match, specifically the spread, will be used to determine the winning contracts. The resolution will be based on the official result declared by the governing sports authority and widely reported by trusted news sources. Traders holding contracts corresponding to the correct spread will be paid out according to the market's pricing at resolution.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before Sep 13, 2026. Any news regarding player injuries or suspensions for either Sporting CP or Famalicao would likely cause significant movement. Changes in team form, tactical adjustments, or even weather conditions could also impact trader sentiment. Unexpected announcements about coaching changes or key personnel decisions could also shift the probabilities. Furthermore, large trading volume from informed participants could signal new information or a change in market expectations, potentially leading to price fluctuations in this market.