TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$113,466,932
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,423,222,590
402,751
Markets across
30,217
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,632
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 13, 5:50 PM EST
Kalshi
This event involves a match between two football clubs competing in a league fixture. The focus is on whether both teams manage to score at least one goal during the regular 90 minutes plus any added stoppage time. The outcome depends solely on the scoring activity within the standard match duration.
If Famalicao and Sporting CP both score a goal in the Famalicao vs Sporting CP Liga Portugal match originally scheduled for Sep 13, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd, often differing from initial sportsbook offerings. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and incorporate a profit margin, while this market allows traders to express their own independent assessments. If a significant number of traders believe a sportsbook’s odds are inaccurate, they can trade in a direction that moves the price on Kalshi closer to their collective view. It's common to see prediction markets outperform traditional odds, especially as more information becomes available before the event.
On Kalshi, this market is priced using a continuous double auction. Traders buy and sell contracts representing the probability of both teams scoring in the Sporting CP vs Famalicao match. The price of a contract directly corresponds to the implied probability of that outcome. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate, the price fluctuates, reflecting the evolving collective belief about the likelihood of 'Yes' or 'No'. The market depth shows the available buy and sell orders, indicating the strength of conviction at different price points.
This market resolves around Sep 13, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on whether both Sporting CP and Famalicao score at least one goal during the scheduled match time, including any added injury or stoppage time. The official match result, as reported by a recognized sports data provider, will determine whether the ‘Yes’ or ‘No’ outcome is triggered. No further information about the resolution process is available at this time.
Several factors could influence the price of this market. Any news regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either Sporting CP or Famalicao would likely cause movement. Changes in team form, tactical approaches, or even weather conditions could also shift trader sentiment. Unexpected lineup announcements close to kickoff, or even significant pre-match analysis from reputable sources, could all contribute to price fluctuations on Kalshi. Ultimately, any information that alters the perceived probability of both teams scoring will likely impact trading activity.