TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$133,388,117
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,436,095,462
405,232
Markets across
30,526
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,693
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jul 25, 11:48 AM EST
Kalshi
Falkirk and Stranraer compete in a Scottish League Cup soccer match on July 25, 2026. The outcome depends on the goal differential between the two teams after 90 minutes plus stoppage time.
Resolution is based on the final goal margin in the Falkirk vs Stranraer Scottish League Cup match, measured after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (excluding extra time or penalties). The market captures four distinct outcome thresholds: Falkirk winning by more than 2.5 goals, Falkirk winning by more than 1.5 goals, Stranraer winning by more than 1.5 goals, or Stranraer winning by more than 2.5 goals. Each threshold represents a separate Yes resolution condition, allowing traders to bet on specific victory margins for either team.
Prediction market odds often reflect a different outlook than traditional sportsbook lines. Traders in this market price in factors like recent form, injuries, and weather conditions, which can move the spread differently than public betting lines. While sportsbooks set a fixed number, this market lets participants bet on where the actual result will fall relative to that line, creating a dynamic range of outcomes.
On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. On Kalshi, traders collectively set the price through buying and selling contracts that represent different possible spreads. The current probability reflects how much of the trading volume is backing each outcome. As new information emerges — such as lineup changes or pitch conditions — you’ll see the odds adjust instantly to reflect the latest consensus among participants.
This market resolves around Jul 25, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final score will be compared to the agreed-upon spread to determine which side of the market was correct. No manual intervention is needed — the result is automatically settled once official match reports are available.
Injuries to key players, weather delays, or tactical changes announced by coaches can all shift this market. Media reports about team morale or recent performance trends also influence trader sentiment. Any development that changes the perceived likelihood of a home win by a certain margin will be reflected quickly in the odds as participants react to new information.