TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.1b

24H VOL:

$141,541,542

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,440,096,988

406,065

Markets across

30,522

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,692

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Falkirk vs Heart of Midlothian: Spread
kalshi

What is the result of Falkirk vs Heart of Midlothian?

Volume:
$18,736

Heart of Midlothian wins by more than 2.5 goals

 - Kalshi

Heart of Midlothian wins by more than 2.5 goals - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Sep 15, 2026

Closed: Sep 15, 5:00 PM EST

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Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Heart of Midlothian wins by more than 2.5 goals

View
0%
10%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$9,830
N/A
N/A
$6,359
Settled
No
kalshi

Heart of Midlothian wins by more than 1.5 goals

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$4,131
N/A
N/A
$3,347
Settled
No
kalshi

Falkirk wins by more than 1.5 goals

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$3,697
N/A
N/A
$3,420
Settled
No
kalshi

Falkirk wins by more than 2.5 goals

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,078
N/A
N/A
$926
Settled
No
Total markets: 4

Description

This event tracks the performance of two Scottish Premiership soccer teams in a head-to-head match. It evaluates different scenarios based on the margin of victory for either team. The outcome depends on how decisively one team wins over the other within the standard game timeframe.

Kalshi

The event evaluates various win-margin scenarios for the Falkirk vs Heart of Midlothian professional Scottish Premiership soccer match scheduled for September 15, 2026. Resolution occurs based on the goal differential after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalties. Four distinct outcomes are possible: Falkirk winning by more than 2.5 goals, Falkirk winning by more than 1.5 goals, Heart of Midlothian winning by more than 1.5 goals, or Heart of Midlothian winning by more than 2.5 goals. Each primary rule defines a specific threshold for victory margins that determine a 'Yes' resolution for its respective market. The rules explicitly state that Kalshi holds no official affiliation with the governing league, and all trademarks remain property of their respective owners.

Frequently asked questions

On Kalshi, the dashboard for the Scottish Premiership match tracks the current price of contracts representing potential outcomes in this market. You’ll find a price history chart showing how the price has fluctuated over time, along with the 24-hour volume traded, currently at $16,562. Total volume for this market is $18,736. This allows you to gauge market sentiment and see how actively traders are participating in predicting the result of the Falkirk versus Heart of Midlothian game.

Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of informed traders, potentially differing from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and to balance action, while this market’s price is driven by individuals willing to put their capital behind their beliefs. If a significant number of traders believe a sportsbook is mispricing an outcome, they can express that view by trading in this market, causing the price to move. It’s common to see discrepancies, particularly as new information emerges or public sentiment shifts.

On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book, where traders buy and sell contracts representing different potential outcomes. The price of a contract indicates the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders are constantly adjusting their positions based on new information and their own analysis, leading to dynamic price fluctuations. The more a particular outcome is bought, the higher its price becomes, and vice versa. This creates a real-time assessment of probabilities.

This market resolves around Sep 15, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the result of the Scottish Premiership match is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final score will be used to determine the winner of this market. Traders who correctly predicted the outcome will be paid out according to the final price of their contracts at the time of resolution. It’s important to monitor news sources leading up to the resolution date to stay informed about any factors that could influence the result.

Several signals could significantly move this market before Sep 15, 2026. Any news regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either Falkirk or Heart of Midlothian would likely impact trading activity. Changes in team form, tactical adjustments announced by the managers, or even weather conditions on match day could all influence traders’ perceptions of the likely outcome. Unexpected news related to team morale or off-field issues could also contribute to price movements in this market.