TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$130,522,377
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,438,389,636
404,028
Markets across
30,214
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,681
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Aug 1, 3:55 PM EST
Polymarket
In the upcoming Scottish Premiership game between Falkirk FC and St Mirren FC, scheduled for August 1, 2026 at 10:00 AM ET: This market will resolve to "Falkirk FC" if Falkirk FC score more goals than St Mirren FC in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Draw" if Falkirk FC and St Mirren FC score the same number of goals in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "St Mirren FC" if St Mirren FC score more goals than Falkirk FC in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Draw". This market refers only to the outcome within the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. First-half goals, extra time, and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
In the upcoming Scottish Premiership game between Falkirk FC and St Mirren FC, scheduled for August 1, 2026 at 10:00 AM ET: This market will resolve to "Falkirk FC" if Falkirk FC score more goals than St Mirren FC in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Draw" if Falkirk FC and St Mirren FC score the same number of goals in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "St Mirren FC" if St Mirren FC score more goals than Falkirk FC in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Draw". This market refers only to the outcome within the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. First-half goals, extra time, and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
Prediction market odds and traditional sportsbook odds often diverge because they reflect different participant bases and incentive structures. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and manage risk, while prediction markets aggregate the beliefs of traders risking real capital. This market's odds emerge from continuous trading rather than a bookmaker's calculation, potentially offering sharper or earlier signals about outcome probabilities. Comparing the two can reveal where public perception differs from market-derived expectations, though both should be viewed as estimates rather than certainties.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through an automated market maker that adjusts odds continuously as traders place orders. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price of each outcome share reflects the collective willingness of participants to buy or sell at that level, with spreads tightening as volume increases. Traders profit by correctly predicting the second half result, and the platform's fee structure incentivizes accurate pricing. Real-time price discovery means odds can shift rapidly in response to team news, injuries, or momentum shifts during the match.
This market resolves around Aug 1, 2026, once the Falkirk vs. St Mirren match concludes and the second half result is verified against credible public sources. The outcome is determined by the official final score recorded during the second half of play. No further adjustments occur after verification, ensuring a clean settlement for all traders. Timing may vary slightly depending on match scheduling and confirmation delays, but resolution typically follows within hours of the final whistle.
Team news such as injuries, suspensions, or lineup changes announced before kickoff can shift odds significantly. Early match momentum—goals scored, red cards, or tactical adjustments in the first half—often influences second half expectations as traders reassess probabilities. Weather conditions, home-field advantage, and recent form streaks also influence sentiment. Unexpected substitutions or tactical shifts at halftime may trigger sharp repricing. Monitor official team announcements and live commentary to stay ahead of market moves, as prediction markets react quickly to new information that affects the likely outcome.