TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$126,324,530
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,434,646,834
406,019
Markets across
30,401
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,689
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Aug 1, 3:52 PM EST
Polymarket
More markets for the Scottish Premiership game, scheduled for August 1 at 10:00 AM ET.
More markets for the Scottish Premiership game, scheduled for August 1 at 10:00 AM ET.
Prediction market odds and sportsbook odds often diverge because they reflect different participant bases and incentive structures. Sportsbooks set odds to balance liability and extract margin, while prediction markets aggregate trader beliefs through continuous price discovery. This market may show tighter or wider spreads than traditional sportsbooks depending on liquidity and the confidence of traders. Comparing the two can reveal where one venue perceives edge relative to the other, though both aim to reflect underlying match probabilities.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through an automated market maker and order-book mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing different outcomes. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Prices move in real time as supply and demand shift, with each trade updating the odds instantly. The top outcome currently reflects strong trader conviction, visible in the price level and volume concentration. Traders profit by correctly predicting the match result, with payouts determined by their share holdings at resolution.
This market resolves around Aug 1, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution depends on the final match result, determined by official sources and standard football rules. Traders holding the correct outcome receive their payout once the event concludes and the result is validated. The exact timing may shift slightly based on match scheduling or any delays in official confirmation.
Team news, injury updates, and lineup announcements typically drive significant price movement in this market. Recent form, head-to-head history, and tactical changes can shift trader expectations ahead of kickoff. Weather conditions, venue factors, and any last-minute roster changes may also influence odds. Social media sentiment, expert analysis, and betting syndicates entering or exiting positions can create sharp moves. As the match date approaches, each new development gives traders fresh information to reprice their positions.