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Falkirk FC vs. Heart of Midlothian FC
kalshi
polymarket

What is the result of Falkirk FC vs. Heart of Midlothian FC?

Volume:
$357,441

Falkirk

all

2 markets

Kalshi

Polymarket

consensus

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Sep 15, 2026

Closed: Sep 15, 5:02 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Falkirk

View
100%
76%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$65,277
N/A
N/A
$29,097
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Falkirk FC

View
100%
78%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$18,252
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Heart of Midlothian

View
0%
50%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$156,929
N/A
N/A
$97,841
Settled
No
polymarket

Heart of Midlothian FC

View
0%
51%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$68,009
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Tie

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$43,974
N/A
N/A
$30,743
Settled
No
polymarket

Draw (Falkirk FC vs. Heart of Midlothian FC)

View
0%
25%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$5,000
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 6

Intro

This market tracks whether Falkirk FC will win their Scottish Premiership soccer match against Heart of Midlothian FC on August 22nd, 2026. Currently, the consensus probability of Falkirk FC winning is 100.0%, with Heart of Midlothian FC winning at 0.1%. This prediction aggregates data from Kalshi and Polymarket, and will resolve based on the official result reported by https://spfl.co.uk/. Keep an eye on potential game cancellations, as Polymarket resolves to “No” if the match is canceled entirely with no reschedule, while Kalshi does not address this scenario.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: A date discrepancy exists between platforms (August 22nd vs. September 15th), and Polymarket explicitly addresses cancellation resolution while Kalshi does not.Hero tip: Monitor for game cancellations and reschedules. Polymarket markets will resolve to 'No' if canceled, while Kalshi markets may remain open if rescheduled.

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: Markets resolve based on the result within 90 minutes plus stoppage time. Cancellation results in a 'No' resolution. Source: SPFL.co.uk.
  • Kalshi: Markets resolve based on the result within 90 minutes plus stoppage time. No explicit cancellation resolution is provided. Date is September 15, 2026.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

This event is for the upcoming Scottish Premiership game, scheduled for Saturday, August 22, 2026 between Falkirk FC and Heart of Midlothian FC.

Kalshi

The event resolves based on the result of the Falkirk vs Heart of Midlothian professional Scottish Premiership soccer match originally scheduled for September 15, 2026, after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. If Falkirk wins, the 'Falkirk' market resolves to Yes. If Heart of Midlothian wins, the 'Heart of Midlothian' market resolves to Yes. If the match ends in a tie, the 'Tie' market resolves to Yes. If the game is cancelled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours beyond the original date, the markets will resolve to a fair price as determined by the platform. The resolution excludes outcomes from extra time or penalty shootouts, focusing only on the result at the end of regular time including stoppage time.

Frequently asked questions

Prediction market odds, like those found on Polymarket and Kalshi, often differ from traditional sportsbook odds due to the differing incentives and information sources. Sportsbooks primarily aim to set lines that balance betting action and ensure profit, while prediction markets rely on the collective intelligence of traders who are incentivized to accurately forecast the outcome. This can lead to prediction markets reflecting a more nuanced and potentially more accurate assessment of probabilities for the Falkirk vs. Hearts match. However, arbitrage opportunities can emerge, allowing traders to profit from discrepancies between the two.

Polymarket and Kalshi can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Prices on Polymarket and Kalshi may diverge due to several factors. These platforms have different user bases, trading volumes, and market-making activity. Polymarket might attract more sophisticated traders with access to specific information about Scottish football, while Kalshi could have a broader, less informed audience. Furthermore, differing liquidity can impact price discovery; lower volume on one platform can lead to greater price volatility. The specific market structures and fees on each platform also contribute to these price discrepancies for the Falkirk vs. Hearts match.