TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$133,388,117
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,436,095,462
405,232
Markets across
30,526
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,693
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jul 30, 2:45 PM EST
Kalshi
This market centers on the outcome of the second map in an upcoming professional League of Legends match between FALKE Esports and Los Heretics. The result depends solely on which team secures victory in that specific map during the scheduled competition. Outcomes are determined by official tournament results, with specific provisions for match or map disruptions.
If FALKE Esports wins map 2 in the LES 2026: FALKE Esports vs. Los Heretics League of Legends match originally scheduled for Jul 30, 2026 at 1:30 PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes. If Los Heretics wins map 2 in the LES 2026: FALKE Esports vs. Los Heretics League of Legends match originally scheduled for Jul 30, 2026 at 1:30 PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.
On sportsbooks, you’ll often see a tighter spread and lower implied volatility than in prediction markets like this one. Traders here price in real-time shifts from patch notes, roster changes, and in-game momentum, which sportsbooks may lag behind. The current implied chance on Kalshi reflects community sentiment and can diverge from traditional sports odds, especially as the match approaches. This difference provides an opportunity to compare crowd-sourced forecasts against institutional lines.
This market resolves around Jul 30, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the match result is verifiable from credible public reporting. The winner of Map 2 is determined by the official game results and broadcast records, which are used to verify the final settlement. No internal platform mechanisms or private data are involved — only publicly confirmed match details.
Key signals include last-starting player changes, coach interviews discussing map strategy, and early-game performance in the match itself. Any shift in team form, such as a clutch play or a major error, can cause rapid re-pricing. News about tournament stakes, sponsor pressures, or even weather delays that affect venue conditions may also influence trader sentiment and shift probabilities before the final whistle.