TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$133,388,117
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,436,095,462
405,232
Markets across
30,526
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,693
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Aug 22, 7:45 AM EST
Polymarket
This event group focuses on determining which team, Fagiano Okayama or Tōkyō Verdy, will score the first goal in their match scheduled for August 22, 2026. The resolution depends on the first goal scored within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, excluding extra time and penalty shoot-outs.
In the upcoming match between Fagiano Okayama and Tōkyō Verdy, scheduled for August 22, 2026 at 5:30 AM ET: This market will resolve to "Fagiano Okayama" if Fagiano Okayama are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Tōkyō Verdy" if Tōkyō Verdy are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. If neither team scores within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, this market will resolve "Neither". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Neither". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
The event evaluates multiple markets based on the total goals scored in the Fagiano O versus Tokyo V professional Japan J1 League soccer match scheduled for August 22, 2026. Each market corresponds to a different threshold of goals: 0.5, 1.5, 2.5, 3.5, 4.5, and 5.5. For any market to resolve as 'Yes,' the cumulative goals scored by both teams after 90 minutes of regular play plus any stoppage time—excluding extra time or penalty kicks—must exceed the specified threshold. All markets share the same foundational conditions regarding the timing and counting methodology for goals, ensuring consistency across thresholds while allowing participants to assess varying levels of scoring intensity. The secondary rules clarify that the platform hosting these markets has no official affiliation with the governing league, and all related trademarks remain the property of their respective owners.
On Polymarket, this market shows a consensus that reflects recent team performance and betting trends. Prediction market odds often differ from traditional sportsbook lines due to the decentralized nature of trading and the ability for users to react instantly to new information. While sportsbooks may incorporate broader public sentiment and set fixed odds, prediction markets adjust dynamically based on real-time trading activity. This can lead to tighter spreads and more nuanced pricing, especially in high-visibility matches. Traders should compare both sources to identify potential value gaps and understand how the crowd evaluates the chances of each outcome in the first goal scorer market.
Injuries, weather updates, or lineup changes could shift this market sharply before kickoff. Key moments like a star player being ruled out or a last-minute tactical tweak often cause rapid re-pricing. Also, any surge in trading volume — especially if it pushes 24-hour volume to $76,170 — can signal a coming shift in sentiment.