TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$103,397,351
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,410,176,180
399,592
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,622
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: May 28, 7:28 AM EST
Kalshi
A professional tennis match between two competitors at the 2026 French Open Men's Singles early round, focusing on the outcome of the third set. Either competitor winning the set constitutes the event occurring.
The market resolves at May 28, 2026, after the completion of Set 3 in the Facundo Diaz Acosta vs Learner Tien match. The outcome is determined by the official result of that set as recorded by the tournament or match authority. Once the set concludes and the winner is confirmed, the contract settles based on whether Learner Tien won or did not win the set, with payouts distributed accordingly to traders on the correct side.
Key catalysts include player form leading into the match, recent head-to-head records, court surface conditions, and any injury or fitness updates. During the match itself, momentum shifts in Sets 1 and 2 will heavily influence Set 3 pricing, as fatigue, confidence, and tactical adjustments become apparent. Weather conditions, crowd dynamics, and real-time performance metrics—such as serve percentage or break-point conversion—can all trigger rapid repricing on Kalshi as traders react to unfolding match conditions.