TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$126,324,530
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,434,646,834
406,019
Markets across
30,401
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,689
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 4, 1:57 PM EST
Kalshi
The same competitive League of Legends match features a first map that determines early momentum between EXILE esports and Onion Team. The result depends entirely on which squad claims the initial map in their scheduled encounter.
This market resolves based on the result of map 1 in the Hitpoint Masters 2026 EXILE esports vs. Onion Team League of Legends match scheduled for September 5, 2026 at 6:00 AM EDT. If EXILE esports wins map 1, that market resolves to Yes; if Onion Team wins map 1, that market resolves to Yes. If the match or map is postponed beyond 48 hours, cancelled, or forfeited before play begins, the market resolves to the fair market price. If a map begins and is later forfeited, resolution follows the official result from the governing body or tournament organizer. Kalshi is not affiliated with the governing league, and all trademarks belong to their respective owners.
Prediction market odds often reflect a different kind of wisdom than sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks typically set lines to balance action and incorporate a profit margin, while this market aggregates the collective intelligence of many traders. If a significant number of informed bettors believe a sportsbook line is inaccurate, you may see the prediction market diverge. It’s common to find that prediction markets are more accurate than traditional forecasts, especially when complex factors are at play. However, sportsbooks may offer more competitive pricing on simpler outcomes.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous double auction. Traders submit bids for the 'yes' outcome (Onion Team wins map 1) and asks for the 'no' outcome (EXILE wins map 1). The market price reflects the point where buy and sell orders match. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate, the price adjusts to reflect the collective belief about the likelihood of each outcome. This dynamic pricing mechanism allows the market to quickly incorporate new information and adjust to changing expectations regarding the match.
This market resolves around Sep 5, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, the result of Map 1 in the EXILE vs. Onion Team esports match will be used to determine the winning outcome. The resolution will be based on the official results published by the tournament organizers. Traders will be able to see the final outcome reflected in their account balances shortly after the official results are released, and payouts will be processed accordingly.
Several signals could influence the price of this market. Any news regarding player form, team strategies, or unexpected roster changes for either EXILE or Onion Team could shift trader sentiment. Major upsets in other matches leading up to this one might also impact confidence in either team. Furthermore, in-game performance during earlier rounds of the tournament, or even during warm-up sessions, could provide clues about each team’s current capabilities and influence trading activity. Any significant information released before Sep 5, 2026 has the potential to move this market.