TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$126,324,530
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,434,646,834
406,019
Markets across
30,401
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,689
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Invalid Date EST
Polymarket
This market will resolve based on the in-game duration of the single longest game (map) played across the 2026 Esports World Cup (EWC) Dota 2 tournament, held July 7–19, 2026 in Paris, France. "Duration" means the in-game duration of a single game as recorded by the resolution source — measured by the in-game clock from game start to the game's conclusion (the destruction of the losing team's Ancient or a called game). It does not include the draft/pick-ban phase or paused time, consistent with how Dota 2 records game length. Each game's duration is rounded down to the last fully completed minute for bucketing (e.g., a game lasting 85 minutes and 42 seconds counts as 85 minutes and falls in the "80–85" bracket; a game lasting 90 minutes and 5 seconds counts as 90 and falls in the "86–90" bracket). Only completed official games count (group stage, survival/gauntlet stage, and playoffs). A game that is remade or not completed does not count. The market resolves to the single bracket containing the duration of the longest qualifying game in the tournament. If the tournament is cancelled, postponed past August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or the results are not determined within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other." The primary resolution source for this market will be Dotabuff (https://www.dotabuff.com). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve based on the in-game duration of the single longest game (map) played across the 2026 Esports World Cup (EWC) Dota 2 tournament, held July 7–19, 2026 in Paris, France. "Duration" means the in-game duration of a single game as recorded by the resolution source — measured by the in-game clock from game start to the game's conclusion (the destruction of the losing team's Ancient or a called game). It does not include the draft/pick-ban phase or paused time, consistent with how Dota 2 records game length. Each game's duration is rounded down to the last fully completed minute for bucketing (e.g., a game lasting 85 minutes and 42 seconds counts as 85 minutes and falls in the "80–85" bracket; a game lasting 90 minutes and 5 seconds counts as 90 and falls in the "86–90" bracket). Only completed official games count (group stage, survival/gauntlet stage, and playoffs). A game that is remade or not completed does not count. The market resolves to the single bracket containing the duration of the longest qualifying game in the tournament. If the tournament is cancelled, postponed past August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or the results are not determined within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other." The primary resolution source for this market will be Dotabuff (https://www.dotabuff.com). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds and sportsbook odds often diverge because they reflect different participant bases and incentive structures. Sportsbooks set lines to balance liability and profit, while prediction markets aggregate trader beliefs through continuous price discovery. For this market, prediction market participants may price game duration differently than traditional sportsbooks, since esports betting markets are less mature and prediction traders may have specialized knowledge of tournament formats and team playstyles that influence match pacing.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through an automated market maker that converts trader orders into real-time odds. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Each outcome—representing a specific game duration range or individual match—has its own price between 0 and 100 cents, where higher prices reflect greater trader confidence. As new information emerges about team rosters, tournament scheduling, or esports meta shifts, traders adjust positions, moving prices to reflect updated expectations about the longest match.
Several catalysts could shift odds in this market. Tournament format announcements—such as map pools, game mode selections, or match structure changes—directly influence expected game lengths. Team roster updates and coaching changes may alter playstyle aggression and pacing. Meta shifts in the featured esports title, balance patches, or rule changes can compress or extend typical match duration. Additionally, early tournament results showing unexpectedly long or short games will recalibrate trader expectations for remaining matches.