TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$134,145,987
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,441,166,947
406,422
Markets across
30,383
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,688
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Above 70
- Kalshi
Above 70 - Kalshi
1W
News
Positive
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Neutral
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Vol.
·
Resolved Jul 13, 2026
Latest in Entertainment
Closed: Jul 13, 10:00 AM EST
Kalshi
Intro
This market tracks whether Evil Dead Burn will achieve a Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer score above 50, indicating fresh critical reception for the horror film. On Kalshi, the leading outcome currently stands at 99.0%. Resolution will be determined by the official Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer score as of July 13, 2026 at 10:00 AM ET. Watch for the film's release and the accumulation of professional critic reviews leading up to the resolution deadline on July 13, 2026.
Kalshi
Each market corresponds to a specific Tomatometer score threshold for Evil Dead Burn. Resolution occurs on July 13, 2026 at 10:00 AM ET, the Monday after the film's wide release. A market resolves to Yes if the Tomatometer score is strictly above its designated threshold; a score equal to the threshold resolves the market to No. For example, a Tomatometer score of 75 would resolve the "Above 75" market to No, while resolving all "Above" markets with thresholds below 75 to Yes. The Tomatometer score used for resolution is the official score displayed on Rotten Tomatoes at the specified date and time.
Frequently asked questions
Prediction market odds often diverge from traditional analyst forecasts because traders are directly incentivized to forecast accurately—incorrect bets cost real money. While film critics and review aggregators may have institutional biases or delayed consensus, this market reflects continuous updating as new information arrives. Comparing the odds here to early pundit predictions or industry expectations can reveal where the crowd sees value or risk that mainstream analysis may have missed, particularly useful for entertainment outcomes where critical reception can surprise.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through an order-book mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing different score ranges or outcomes. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The bid-ask spread reflects the current consensus and uncertainty around where the Rotten Tomatoes score will ultimately settle. As traders place orders, the price adjusts to balance supply and demand, creating a dynamic reflection of collective belief about the film's critical reception.
This market resolves around Jul 13, 2026, once the film's Rotten Tomatoes score is finalized and verifiable from credible public sources. The outcome is determined by the official score published on the Rotten Tomatoes platform after a sufficient number of reviews have been aggregated. Resolution hinges on the metric becoming stable and publicly confirmed, at which point traders' positions settle based on whether the actual score matches their predicted range.
Early reviews and critic reactions will be the primary driver of price movement in this market. As major publications and film critics release their verdicts, traders will adjust positions based on whether reviews trend positive or negative. Festival screenings, advance press coverage, and social media sentiment can also shift expectations. Major entertainment news outlets covering the film's reception will likely trigger volatility, and any significant critical consensus emerging before the official score stabilizes will influence how traders price their positions.
