TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$141,541,542
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,440,096,988
406,065
Markets across
30,522
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,692
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 16, 4:57 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the outcome of a soccer match between Everton and Wolverhampton, focusing specifically on the margin of victory during regulation time. It evaluates whether either team secures a decisive win by exceeding certain goal differentials. The result is determined solely by the final score after 90 minutes of play, excluding any extra time or penalty shootouts.
The event evaluates various goal-differential thresholds for a soccer match between Everton and Wolverhampton, all determined after exactly 90 minutes of regulation time, excluding any extra time or penalty phases. Four distinct outcome criteria exist: Everton must win by more than 2.5 goals, Everton must win by more than 1.5 goals, Wolverhampton must win by more than 1.5 goals, or Wolverhampton must win by more than 2.5 goals. Whichever of these conditions is met—should only one apply—will resolve the event as 'Yes.' If none of the specified margins are achieved, the event resolves as 'No.' All markets are independent assessments of these thresholds and are not endorsed by any official governing league; all trademarks and branding belong to their respective owners.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from sportsbook odds, which are often set by experts or algorithms. Sportsbooks may incorporate a 'vig' or commission into their odds, while this market aims to represent the true probability of the outcome as assessed by traders. Discrepancies can arise due to differing opinions, access to information, or biases. It's common to see this market adjust rapidly to new information, potentially leading to odds that diverge from initial sportsbook offerings.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing their belief about the final spread in the Everton vs Wolverhampton match. The price of a contract reflects the probability of that spread occurring. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders set the odds by placing bids and asks, and the market price fluctuates based on supply and demand. Higher volume generally indicates greater confidence in the current price, while significant price swings suggest uncertainty or new information entering the market.
This market resolves around Sep 16, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the final regulation time spread of the Everton vs Wolverhampton match is verifiable from credible public reporting. The official result, as reported by a recognized sports data provider, will determine the winning contracts. Traders will be able to see the final settlement price and receive payouts based on their positions in this market. It is important to monitor the event for any delays or changes that might affect the resolution timeline.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before Sep 16, 2026. News regarding player injuries or suspensions for either Everton or Wolverhampton would likely have a significant impact. Any changes in team form, tactical adjustments, or even weather conditions could also shift market sentiment. Unexpected announcements about team lineups or managerial decisions could also cause price fluctuations. Furthermore, large trading volume from informed participants could signal a shift in expectations and drive price movement in this market.