TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$126,324,530
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,434,646,834
406,019
Markets across
30,401
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,689
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Aug 12, 4:28 PM EST
Polymarket
In the upcoming match between Everton FC and Newcastle United, scheduled for August 12, 2026 at 12:15 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Everton FC" if Everton FC are the first to score in the match (regardless of format). This market will resolve to "Newcastle United" if Newcastle United are the first to score in the match (regardless of format). If neither team scores in the match (regardless of format), this market will resolve "Neither". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Neither". This market considers goals scored at any point in the match, regardless of format (e.g. two halves totaling 90 minutes plus stoppage time, or four periods totaling 120 minutes). The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
In the upcoming match between Everton FC and Newcastle United, scheduled for August 12, 2026 at 12:15 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Everton FC" if Everton FC are the first to score in the match (regardless of format). This market will resolve to "Newcastle United" if Newcastle United are the first to score in the match (regardless of format). If neither team scores in the match (regardless of format), this market will resolve "Neither". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Neither". This market considers goals scored at any point in the match, regardless of format (e.g. two halves totaling 90 minutes plus stoppage time, or four periods totaling 120 minutes). The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
On Polymarket, this market reflects trader sentiment rather than traditional sportsbook lines. Prediction market odds adjust continuously based on real-time trading activity and can diverge from sportsbook odds due to different participant dynamics and information inputs. While sportsbooks may incorporate additional factors like risk management and broader public betting patterns, this market offers a pure crowdsourced probability estimate. Traders on Polymarket often react quickly to new data, which can cause rapid shifts compared to more static sportsbook lines. The resulting price reflects the aggregated view of active participants rather than institutional odds setting.
On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. On Polymarket, traders actively set the odds through buying and selling shares, which determines the current implied probability for each possible outcome. The top outcome’s chance is reflected in a price that updates instantly based on order flow and liquidity, allowing users to see how the market collectively values each team’s likelihood of scoring first.
This market resolves around Aug 12, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the match result is verifiable from credible public reporting. The first team to find the back of the net during the match will settle the market, regardless of the final score or any later events in the game.
In the run-up to Aug 12, 2026, several key signals could impact this market. Injury updates to key players, tactical changes by managers, and recent head-to-head performance trends often shift trader sentiment. Momentum swings during the match — such as red cards, own goals, or dominant runs of play — can cause rapid adjustments. Weather conditions or last-minute lineup changes may also influence expectations. Any unexpected developments, including managerial strategies or referee decisions, have the potential to move this market significantly as traders reassess probabilities in real time.