TOTAL VOLUME:

$134b

24H VOL:

$103,397,351

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,410,176,180

399,592

Markets across

30,097

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,622

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

BETA
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Entertainment
evermore streams up this week?
kalshi

evermore streams up this week?

Volume:
$0

Target Streams: 15,752,029

 - Kalshi

Target Streams: 15,752,029 - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Jul 20, 2026

Closed: Jul 18, 10:00 AM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

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Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Target Streams: 15,752,029

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 1

Description

This market tracks whether Taylor Swift's album evermore achieves streaming performance above a specific threshold during the July 10-16 tracking week. Streaming data is compiled by Luminate Data and published within approximately 48 hours after the week ends.

Kalshi

If evermore has above 15,752,029 Worldwide Streams during the July 10 - July 16, tracking week, then the market resolves to Yes.

Frequently asked questions

On Kalshi, the Evermore streaming viewership market dashboard tracks real-time odds and trading activity around whether new Evermore content will stream this week. The interface displays current market prices, historical price movements, and 24-hour volume of $0 to help traders monitor sentiment shifts. This market aggregates predictions from participants betting on the timing and availability of Evermore releases across major streaming platforms, offering a live snapshot of collective expectations around the release schedule.

Prediction market odds often diverge from traditional analyst forecasts because they reflect real-money incentives and continuous price discovery rather than static published opinions. Traders in this market are betting directly on whether Evermore content arrives this week, creating dynamic odds that adjust as new information emerges. While entertainment analysts may issue periodic reports on release schedules, the market price incorporates live updates, fan sentiment, and industry signals in near-real time, sometimes leading prediction markets to move ahead of or contradict conventional forecasts.

On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order-book mechanism where traders submit bids and asks on binary outcomes. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The platform converts these orders into implied probabilities, displayed as a percentage chance that Evermore will stream this week. As more traders buy or sell shares, the price adjusts in real time, reflecting the collective belief of the market. Kalshi's pricing model ensures transparent, market-driven odds that respond instantly to breaking news or schedule announcements.

This market resolves around Jul 20, 2026, at which point the outcome is confirmed based on verifiable public reporting. The resolution hinges on whether Evermore content officially streams on a major platform by the deadline. Once the event window closes, the outcome is determined against credible public sources such as streaming service announcements, official social media posts, or entertainment news outlets. Traders holding the winning outcome receive their payout automatically.

Several catalysts could shift odds significantly before resolution. Official announcements from streaming platforms or the artist's team about release dates would trigger immediate repricing. Social media hints, industry leaks, or statements from collaborators may also influence trader sentiment. Chart performance, tour schedules, or unexpected delays in production could sway expectations. Additionally, competing entertainment releases or platform algorithm changes might affect perceived likelihood. Traders monitor entertainment news outlets, official accounts, and fan communities for any signals that change the probability of a this-week release.