TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$107,351,958
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,416,970,024
400,720
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,633
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 6, 3:58 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the darts match between William O'Connor and Luke Humphries in the European Tour, originally scheduled for September 6 at 1:30PM ET. This market will resolve to 'William O'Connor' if William O'Connor wins against Luke Humphries. This market will resolve to 'Luke Humphries' if Luke Humphries wins against William O'Connor. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. Resolution will be based on official PDC results.
This market refers to the darts match between William O'Connor and Luke Humphries in the European Tour, originally scheduled for September 6 at 1:30PM ET. This market will resolve to 'William O'Connor' if William O'Connor wins against Luke Humphries. This market will resolve to 'Luke Humphries' if Luke Humphries wins against William O'Connor. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. Resolution will be based on official PDC results.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set their lines based on statistical models and expert analysis, while this market aggregates the views of many individuals with varying levels of expertise. It’s common to see discrepancies between the two, especially before significant events or when new information emerges. Comparing the odds can be a useful exercise to gauge public sentiment and identify potential value, but remember that both represent probabilities, not guarantees of the outcome.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of these shares directly reflects the implied probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders participate, the price adjusts to reflect the collective assessment of the event's likelihood. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market's price is determined solely by supply and demand within Polymarket, and is not influenced by external factors or predetermined values.
This market resolves around Sep 13, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the European Tour: William O'Connor vs Luke Humphries match, as reported by the official tournament organizers. The platform will verify the result against these sources to determine which outcome corresponds to the actual event result. Traders holding shares in the winning outcome will be entitled to a payout, while those holding shares in the losing outcome will forfeit their investment.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before Sep 13, 2026. Any news regarding player form, injuries, or changes in playing conditions could significantly impact trader sentiment. Unexpected results in other matches featuring either player could also shift expectations. Publicly available analysis from darts experts and commentators might also sway opinion, as could large trades within Polymarket itself. Ultimately, any information that alters the perceived probability of either player winning will likely cause movement in this market.