TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$133,388,117
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,436,095,462
405,232
Markets across
30,526
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,693
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 5, 5:54 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the darts match between Michael van Gerwen and Mario Vandenbogaerde in the European Tour, originally scheduled for September 5 at 7:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Michael van Gerwen' if Michael van Gerwen wins against Mario Vandenbogaerde. This market will resolve to 'Mario Vandenbogaerde' if Mario Vandenbogaerde wins against Michael van Gerwen. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. Resolution will be based on official PDC results.
This market refers to the darts match between Michael van Gerwen and Mario Vandenbogaerde in the European Tour, originally scheduled for September 5 at 7:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Michael van Gerwen' if Michael van Gerwen wins against Mario Vandenbogaerde. This market will resolve to 'Mario Vandenbogaerde' if Mario Vandenbogaerde wins against Michael van Gerwen. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. Resolution will be based on official PDC results.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set their lines based on statistical models and expert analysis, while this market relies on individuals willing to put their capital behind their beliefs. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially when public sentiment strongly favors one outcome, or when there's significant uncertainty surrounding the event. Examining these differences can reveal insights into how the crowd views the likelihood of various results in the van Gerwen vs Vandenbogaerde match.
This market resolves around Sep 12, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the European Tour match between Michael van Gerwen and Mario Vandenbogaerde. The platform will verify the winner based on publicly available sources, ensuring a transparent and accurate settlement. Traders should monitor official sources for the final result to understand how this market will be settled.
Several factors could influence the price of shares in this market. Any news regarding the players’ form, injuries, or changes in their playing style could shift expectations. Unexpected results in other matches leading up to the event might also impact the perceived probabilities. Public sentiment, as reflected in social media and sports news, can also play a role, particularly if there’s a significant shift in opinion regarding either player’s chances of winning the van Gerwen vs Vandenbogaerde match. Major upsets in the broader tournament could also indirectly affect this market.