TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$126,324,530
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,434,646,834
406,019
Markets across
30,401
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,689
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 6, 11:04 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the darts match between Luke Humphries and Andrew Gilding in the European Tour, originally scheduled for September 6 at 7:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Luke Humphries' if Luke Humphries wins against Andrew Gilding. This market will resolve to 'Andrew Gilding' if Andrew Gilding wins against Luke Humphries. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. Resolution will be based on official PDC results.
This market refers to the darts match between Luke Humphries and Andrew Gilding in the European Tour, originally scheduled for September 6 at 7:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Luke Humphries' if Luke Humphries wins against Andrew Gilding. This market will resolve to 'Andrew Gilding' if Andrew Gilding wins against Luke Humphries. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. Resolution will be based on official PDC results.
Often, prediction market odds reflect a different perspective than those found at traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks typically incorporate a 'vig' or commission into their odds, while this market allows traders to directly assess probabilities. If a large number of traders believe a particular outcome is more likely than implied by sportsbook odds, the price will move accordingly. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information, biases, or simply varying levels of expertise among market participants and sportsbook analysts. It’s a fascinating comparison to see how collective intelligence stacks up against professional oddsmakers.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism. Traders buy and sell shares representing each possible outcome – in this case, a win for either Luke Humphries or Andrew Gilding. The price of each share reflects the market's collective belief about the probability of that outcome occurring. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the prices adjust to reflect the latest insights. This dynamic pricing ensures that the market odds are constantly evolving and responsive to changing conditions.
This market resolves around Sep 13, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the European Tour match between Luke Humphries and Andrew Gilding. The platform will verify the winner based on publicly available sources and declare the corresponding shares as settled. Traders holding shares in the winning outcome will be entitled to a payout based on the final market price at resolution.
Several factors could influence the price of this market. Any news regarding player form, injuries, or changes in playing conditions could shift trader sentiment. Significant upsets in earlier rounds of the tournament could also impact perceptions of each player’s chances. Furthermore, expert analysis or public opinion shifts could drive trading activity. Unexpected developments leading up to the match, such as changes in the venue or weather conditions, could also contribute to price movement in this market.