TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$141,541,542
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,440,096,988
406,065
Markets across
30,522
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,692
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 6, 5:23 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the darts match between Jonny Clayton and Michael van Gerwen in the European Tour, originally scheduled for September 6 at 2:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Jonny Clayton' if Jonny Clayton wins against Michael van Gerwen. This market will resolve to 'Michael van Gerwen' if Michael van Gerwen wins against Jonny Clayton. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. Resolution will be based on official PDC results.
This market refers to the darts match between Jonny Clayton and Michael van Gerwen in the European Tour, originally scheduled for September 6 at 2:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Jonny Clayton' if Jonny Clayton wins against Michael van Gerwen. This market will resolve to 'Michael van Gerwen' if Michael van Gerwen wins against Jonny Clayton. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. Resolution will be based on official PDC results.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from those offered by traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set their lines based on internal models and aim to balance their risk, while this market is driven by traders who are incentivized to accurately predict the outcome. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially when public sentiment strongly favors one outcome. Analyzing these differences can reveal insights into where the market perceives value or disagreement with conventional wisdom regarding the Clayton vs van Gerwen match.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous trading mechanism where users buy and sell shares representing their belief in each outcome. The price of these shares fluctuates based on supply and demand, effectively creating a real-time probability assessment. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders buy shares in a particular outcome, its price increases, indicating a higher perceived chance of occurring. This dynamic pricing reflects the collective intelligence of the market participants regarding the Clayton vs van Gerwen match.
This market resolves around Sep 13, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the European Tour match between Jonny Clayton and Michael van Gerwen. The platform will verify the result against reliable sources to determine the winning outcome. Traders who correctly predicted the outcome will be entitled to a payout based on the final share price at the time of resolution for this market.
Several factors could influence the trading activity in this market leading up to Sep 13, 2026. Any news regarding player form, injuries, or changes in playing conditions could significantly shift the odds. Unexpected results in earlier matches of the European Tour could also impact perceptions of each player’s chances. Public sentiment, reflected in social media and sports news, can also play a role, as traders react to evolving narratives surrounding the Clayton vs van Gerwen match. Major upsets in other related events could also cause movement.