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European Tour: Gian van Veen vs Ross Smith
polymarket
kalshi

What is the result of Gian van Veen vs Ross Smith?

Volume:
$13,078,076

Shane Lowry

 - Kalshi

Shane Lowry - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Sep 6, 2026

Closed: Sep 13, 4:59 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Shane Lowry

View
100%
18%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$1,457,600
N/A
N/A
$467,491
Settled
Yes
polymarket

European Tour: Gian van Veen vs Ross Smith

View
18%
Yes 18¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$30
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Rory McIlroy

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,046,202
N/A
N/A
$609,220
Settled
No
kalshi

Joaquin Niemann

View
0%
3%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$888,656
N/A
N/A
$396,730
Settled
No
kalshi

Patrick Reed

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$681,789
N/A
N/A
$509,637
Settled
No
kalshi

Jon Rahm

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$500,625
N/A
N/A
$365,728
Settled
No
kalshi

Jacob Skov Olesen

View
0%
14%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$401,739
N/A
N/A
$275,800
Settled
No
kalshi

Hao-Tong Li

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$299,650
N/A
N/A
$247,525
Settled
No
kalshi

Rasmus Højgaard

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$282,488
N/A
N/A
$206,575
Settled
No
kalshi

Brooks Koepka

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$266,218
N/A
N/A
$235,300
Settled
No
kalshi

Robert MacIntyre

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$252,092
N/A
N/A
$211,605
Settled
No
kalshi

Tom McKibbin

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$241,163
N/A
N/A
$185,480
Settled
No
kalshi

Thriston Lawrence

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$212,438
N/A
N/A
$203,554
Settled
No
kalshi

Adrian Meronk

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$206,129
N/A
N/A
$187,798
Settled
No
kalshi

Niklas Nørgaard Møller

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$183,861
N/A
N/A
$127,840
Settled
No
kalshi

Rafa Cabrera Bello

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$183,803
N/A
N/A
$155,043
Settled
No
kalshi

Maximilian Steinlechner

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$172,282
N/A
N/A
$119,205
Settled
No
kalshi

Daniel Rodrigues

View
0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$167,828
N/A
N/A
$131,770
Settled
No
kalshi

Alex Fitzpatrick

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$167,592
N/A
N/A
$149,590
Settled
No
kalshi

Bernd Wiesberger

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$165,876
N/A
N/A
$162,930
Settled
No
kalshi

Andy Sullivan

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$159,788
N/A
N/A
$154,983
Settled
No
kalshi

Tyrrell Hatton

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$155,689
N/A
N/A
$152,804
Settled
No
kalshi

Shaun Norris

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$153,865
N/A
N/A
$144,567
Settled
No
kalshi

Renato Paratore

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$142,275
N/A
N/A
$117,939
Settled
No
kalshi

Connor Syme

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$140,912
N/A
N/A
$140,595
Settled
No
Total markets: 25 of 146

Intro

This market tracks the winner of the Amgen Irish Open golf tournament. Currently, the consensus probability that Shane Lowry will win is 95.6%, aggregating views from Polymarket and Kalshi. Should a different golfer win, the market will resolve to No, based on official tournament results. The second most probable outcome is Jacob Skov Olesen winning, at 4.1%. Keep an eye on the final round of play concluding September 13, 2026, as that will determine the tournament winner and market resolution.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: The Kalshi market refers to a completely different event (golf) than the Polymarket market (darts). This makes the group fundamentally unresolvable.Hero tip: Avoid trading this market. It is highly likely to be voided or resolved incorrectly due to the fundamental mismatch in the underlying events.

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: Resolves based on the winner of a darts match between Gian van Veen and Ross Smith, with specific rules for cancellations, ties, and retirements. Resolution source is official PDC results.
  • Kalshi: Resolves to 'Yes' if any of over 120 golfers win the Amgen Irish Open tournament. Completely unrelated to the stated event.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

This market refers to the darts match between Gian van Veen and Ross Smith in the European Tour, originally scheduled for September 6 at 7:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Gian van Veen' if Gian van Veen wins against Ross Smith. This market will resolve to 'Ross Smith' if Ross Smith wins against Gian van Veen. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. Resolution will be based on official PDC results.

Kalshi

If Kiradech Aphibarnrat wins the Amgen Irish Open, then the market resolves to Yes. If Marcus Armitage wins the Amgen Irish Open, then the market resolves to Yes. If Angel Ayora Fanegas wins the Amgen Irish Open, then the market resolves to Yes. If Sam Bairstow wins the Amgen Irish Open, then the market resolves to Yes. If Dan Bradbury wins the Amgen Irish Open, then the market resolves to Yes. If Daniel Brown wins the Amgen Irish Open, then the market resolves to Yes. If Davis Bryant wins the Amgen Irish Open, then the market resolves to Yes. If Rafa Cabrera Bello wins the Amgen Irish Open, then the market resolves to Yes. If Jorge Campillo wins the Amgen Irish Open, then the market resolves to Yes. If Laurie Canter wins the Amgen Irish Open, then the market resolves to Yes. If Ivan Cantero Gutierrez wins the Amgen Irish Open, then the market resolves to Yes. If Todd Clements wins the Amgen Irish Open, then the market resolves to Yes. If Ugo Coussaud wins the Amgen Irish Open, then the market resolves to Yes. If Martin Couvra wins the Amgen Irish Open, then the market resolves to Yes. If Sean Crocker wins the Amgen Irish Open, then the market resolves to Yes. If Jens Dantorp wins the Amgen Irish Open, then the market resolves to Yes. If Gregorio De Leo wins the Amgen Irish Open, then the market resolves to Yes. If Joe Dean wins the Amgen Irish Open, then the market resolves to Yes. If Alejandro Del Rey wins the Amgen Irish Open, then the market resolves to Yes. If Thomas Detry wins the Amgen Irish Open, then the market resolves to Yes. If Wenyi Ding wins the Amgen Irish Open, then the market resolves to Yes. If Luke Donald wins the Amgen Irish Open, then the market resolves to Yes. If Hennie Du Plessis wins the Amgen Irish Open, then the market resolves to Yes. If Manuel Elvira wins the Amgen Irish Open, then the market resolves to Yes. If Nacho Elvira wins the Amgen Irish Open, then the market resolves to Yes. If Ewen Ferguson wins the Amgen Irish Open, then the market resolves to Yes. If Alex Fitzpatrick wins the Amgen Irish Open, then the market resolves to Yes. If Grant Forrest wins the Amgen Irish Open, then the market resolves to Yes. If Dylan Frittelli wins the Amgen Irish Open, then the market resolves to Yes. If Sergio Garcia wins the Amgen Irish Open, then the market resolves to Yes. If Daniel Gavins wins the Amgen Irish Open, then the market resolves to Yes. If Joel Girrbach wins the Amgen Irish Open, then the market resolves to Yes. If Ricardo Gouveia wins the Amgen Irish Open, then the market resolves to Yes. If Julien Guerrier wins the Amgen Irish Open, then the market resolves to Yes. If Oihan Guillamoundeguy wins the Amgen Irish Open, then the market resolves to Yes. If Jordan Gumberg wins the Amgen Irish Open, then the market resolves to Yes. If Harry Hall wins the Amgen Irish Open, then the market resolves to Yes. If Padraig Harrington wins the Amgen Irish Open, then the market resolves to Yes. If Tyrrell Hatton wins the Amgen Irish Open, then the market resolves to Yes. If Angel Hidalgo wins the Amgen Irish Open, then the market resolves to Yes. If Thomas Higgins wins the Amgen Irish Open, then the market resolves to Yes. If Calum Hill wins the Amgen Irish Open, then the market resolves to Yes. If Daniel Hillier wins the Amgen Irish Open, then the market resolves to Yes. If Michael Hollick wins the Amgen Irish Open, then the market resolves to Yes. If Rikuya Hoshino wins the Amgen Irish Open, then the market resolves to Yes. If Nicolai Højgaard wins the Amgen Irish Open, then the market resolves to Yes. If Rasmus Højgaard wins the Amgen Irish Open, then the market resolves to Yes. If Scott Jamieson wins the Amgen Irish Open, then the market resolves to Yes. If Casey Jarvis wins the Amgen Irish Open, then the market resolves to Yes. If Ryggs Johnston wins the Amgen Irish Open, then the market resolves to Yes. If Matthew Jordan wins the Amgen Irish Open, then the market resolves to Yes. If Kota Kaneko wins the Amgen Irish Open, then the market resolves to Yes. If Yuto Katsuragawa wins the Amgen Irish Open, then the market resolves to Yes. If Max Kennedy wins the Amgen Irish Open, then the market resolves to Yes. If Nathan Kimsey wins the Amgen Irish Open, then the market resolves to Yes. If Jeong-Weon Ko wins the Amgen Irish Open, then the market resolves to Yes. If Kazuma Kobori wins the Amgen Irish Open, then the market resolves to Yes. If Brooks Koepka wins the Amgen Irish Open, then the market resolves to Yes. If Jacques Kruyswijk wins the Amgen Irish Open, then the market resolves to Yes. If Frederic Lacroix wins the Amgen Irish Open, then the market resolves to Yes. If Joakim Lagergren wins the Amgen Irish Open, then the market resolves to Yes. If Romain Langasque wins the Amgen Irish Open, then the market resolves to Yes. If Francesco Laporta wins the Amgen Irish Open, then the market resolves to Yes. If Pablo Larrazábal wins the Amgen Irish Open, then the market resolves to Yes. If Thriston Lawrence wins the Amgen Irish Open, then the market resolves to Yes. If Junghwan Lee wins the Amgen Irish Open, then the market resolves to Yes. If Hao-Tong Li wins the Amgen Irish Open, then the market resolves to Yes. If Mikael Lindberg wins the Amgen Irish Open, then the market resolves to Yes. If Oliver Lindell wins the Amgen Irish Open, then the market resolves to Yes. If Eugenio Lopez-Chacarra wins the Amgen Irish Open, then the market resolves to Yes. If Shane Lowry wins the Amgen Irish Open, then the market resolves to Yes. If Joost Luiten wins the Amgen Irish Open, then the market resolves to Yes. If Robert MacIntyre wins the Amgen Irish Open, then the market resolves to Yes. If Matteo Manassero wins the Amgen Irish Open, then the market resolves to Yes. If Richard Mansell wins the Amgen Irish Open, then the market resolves to Yes. If Stefano Mazzoli wins the Amgen Irish Open, then the market resolves to Yes. If Rory McIlroy wins the Amgen Irish Open, then the market resolves to Yes. If Tom McKibbin wins the Amgen Irish Open, then the market resolves to Yes. If Adrian Meronk wins the Amgen Irish Open, then the market resolves to Yes. If David Micheluzzi wins the Amgen Irish Open, then the market resolves to Yes. If Guido Migliozzi wins the Amgen Irish Open, then the market resolves to Yes. If Francesco Molinari wins the Amgen Irish Open, then the market resolves to Yes. If Dylan Naidoo wins the Amgen Irish Open, then the market resolves to Yes. If Rasmus Neergaard-Petersen wins the Amgen Irish Open, then the market resolves to Yes. If Liam Nolan wins the Amgen Irish Open, then the market resolves to Yes. If Shaun Norris wins the Amgen Irish Open, then the market resolves to Yes. If Niklas Nørgaard Møller wins the Amgen Irish Open, then the market resolves to Yes. If Jacob Skov Olesen wins the Amgen Irish Open, then the market resolves to Yes. If Thorbjørn Olesen wins the Amgen Irish Open, then the market resolves to Yes. If Adrian Otaegui wins the Amgen Irish Open, then the market resolves to Yes. If Victor Perez wins the Amgen Irish Open, then the market resolves to Yes. If Seamus Power wins the Amgen Irish Open, then the market resolves to Yes. If Mark Power wins the Amgen Irish Open, then the market resolves to Yes. If Yurav Premlall wins the Amgen Irish Open, then the market resolves to Yes. If David Puig wins the Amgen Irish Open, then the market resolves to Yes. If Jon Rahm wins the Amgen Irish Open, then the market resolves to Yes. If David Ravetto wins the Amgen Irish Open, then the market resolves to Yes. If Patrick Reed wins the Amgen Irish Open, then the market resolves to Yes. If Brandon Robinson-Thompson wins the Amgen Irish Open, then the market resolves to Yes. If Daniel Rodrigues wins the Amgen Irish Open, then the market resolves to Yes. If Antoine Rozner wins the Amgen Irish Open, then the market resolves to Yes. If Jayden Trey Schaper wins the Amgen Irish Open, then the market resolves to Yes. If Benjamin Schmidt wins the Amgen Irish Open, then the market resolves to Yes. If Marcel Schneider wins the Amgen Irish Open, then the market resolves to Yes. If Freddy Schott wins the Amgen Irish Open, then the market resolves to Yes. If Jason Scrivener wins the Amgen Irish Open, then the market resolves to Yes. If Jack Senior wins the Amgen Irish Open, then the market resolves to Yes. If Cormac Sharvin wins the Amgen Irish Open, then the market resolves to Yes. If Marcel Siem wins the Amgen Irish Open, then the market resolves to Yes. If Jordan L. Smith wins the Amgen Irish Open, then the market resolves to Yes. If Sebastian Soderberg wins the Amgen Irish Open, then the market resolves to Yes. If Richard Sterne wins the Amgen Irish Open, then the market resolves to Yes. If Brandon Stone wins the Amgen Irish Open, then the market resolves to Yes. If Sepp Straka wins the Amgen Irish Open, then the market resolves to Yes. If Ockie Strydom wins the Amgen Irish Open, then the market resolves to Yes. If Andy Sullivan wins the Amgen Irish Open, then the market resolves to Yes. If Connor Syme wins the Amgen Irish Open, then the market resolves to Yes. If Tom Vaillant wins the Amgen Irish Open, then the market resolves to Yes. If Darius Van Driel wins the Amgen Irish Open, then the market resolves to Yes. If Johannes Veerman wins the Amgen Irish Open, then the market resolves to Yes. If Nicolai Von Dellingshausen wins the Amgen Irish Open, then the market resolves to Yes. If Matt Wallace wins the Amgen Irish Open, then the market resolves to Yes. If Paul Waring wins the Amgen Irish Open, then the market resolves to Yes. If Bernd Wiesberger wins the Amgen Irish Open, then the market resolves to Yes. If Jeff Winther wins the Amgen Irish Open, then the market resolves to Yes. If Ashun Wu wins the Amgen Irish Open, then the market resolves to Yes. If Yanhan Zhou wins the Amgen Irish Open, then the market resolves to Yes.

Frequently asked questions

On Polymarket and Kalshi, this dashboard tracks the probability of either Gian van Veen or Ross Smith winning their match. It aggregates trading volume from both platforms to provide a consensus view of the market. Currently, the combined volume across Polymarket and Kalshi is $13,078,076, with $1,237,735 traded in the last 24 hours. This allows traders to see where the smart money is going in the Gian van Veen vs Ross Smith match, and how opinions are shifting as new information becomes available. The dashboard offers a unified view of the prediction market for this event.

Prediction market odds, like those displayed on Polymarket and Kalshi, often reflect the collective wisdom of informed traders, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set odds based on their own models and to balance their book, while prediction markets are driven by individuals willing to put their capital behind their beliefs. This can lead to discrepancies, especially when a significant amount of information isn't yet publicly priced in by sportsbooks. This market, concerning the Gian van Veen vs Ross Smith match, may show differences due to varying levels of expertise and information available to each group of bettors.

Polymarket and Kalshi can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Prices for this market on Polymarket and Kalshi can diverge due to several factors. Each platform attracts a different user base with varying levels of expertise and access to information about the Gian van Veen vs Ross Smith match. Trading volume and liquidity also play a role; lower volume on one platform can lead to greater price fluctuations. Furthermore, the specific mechanisms for price discovery—how traders interact and set odds—differ between Polymarket and Kalshi, contributing to potential price discrepancies. These differences are normal and reflect the independent nature of each market.