TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$141,541,542
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,440,096,988
406,065
Markets across
30,522
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,692
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 4, 5:42 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the darts match between Daryl Gurney and Beau Greaves in the European Tour, originally scheduled for September 4 at 3:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Daryl Gurney' if Daryl Gurney wins against Beau Greaves. This market will resolve to 'Beau Greaves' if Beau Greaves wins against Daryl Gurney. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. Resolution will be based on official PDC results.
This market refers to the darts match between Daryl Gurney and Beau Greaves in the European Tour, originally scheduled for September 4 at 3:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Daryl Gurney' if Daryl Gurney wins against Beau Greaves. This market will resolve to 'Beau Greaves' if Beau Greaves wins against Daryl Gurney. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. Resolution will be based on official PDC results.
Typically, prediction market odds offer a different perspective than those found at traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks often incorporate a 'vig' or commission into their odds, while prediction markets, like this one, aim to reflect the true probabilities as assessed by traders. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially before significant events or when new information emerges. Comparing the two can be a useful exercise in understanding market sentiment and identifying potential value, though this market is driven by user predictions, not bookmaker margins.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism. Traders buy and sell shares representing different outcomes, and the price of each share reflects the market's current belief about the probability of that outcome occurring. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price movements are driven by supply and demand; if many traders believe a particular outcome is likely, the price of shares representing that outcome will increase. This dynamic pricing ensures the market reflects the wisdom of the crowd, offering a unique perspective on the event’s potential results.
This market resolves around Sep 11, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Daryl Gurney versus Beau Greaves match as declared by the European Tour. The platform will verify the result against publicly available data to determine the winning outcome and settle the market accordingly. Traders should monitor official sources for the final result to understand how this market will be settled.
Several factors could influence the trading activity in this market. Any news regarding player form, injuries, or changes in playing conditions could shift trader sentiment. Unexpected results in preceding matches for either Gurney or Greaves could also have a significant impact. Furthermore, public analysis or expert opinions on the players’ chances might sway opinions and drive trading volume. Monitoring these signals will be key to understanding potential movements in this market before it resolves.